Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt host Hamburger SV on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Eintracht Frankfurt 39%, draw 29%, Hamburger SV 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Eintracht Frankfurt €12.8M, Hamburger SV €8.1M.
- Home advantage makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite here: it adds 4 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Eintracht Frankfurt goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Eintracht Frankfurt 2060 · Hamburger SV 2060
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Eintracht Frankfurt · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 2275
Hamburger SV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2151
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Eintracht Frankfurt
11th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 6
- 16 OctW1. FC Köln Bundesliga2090
- 10 OctLRB Leipzig Bundesliga2126
- 19 SepDSC Freiburg Bundesliga2072
- 12 SepWFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga2027
- 6 SepLFC Augsburg Bundesliga2044
Hamburger SV
9th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 6
- 17 OctWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga2013
- 10 OctW1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga2026
- 19 SepW1. FC Köln Bundesliga2056
- 13 SepLRB Leipzig Bundesliga2015
- 6 SepLFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga2017
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 /6 | 44.6 | 0% | 3% | 4% | 9th |
| Hamburger SV | 9 /6 | 46.7 | 0% | 5% | 2% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Eintracht Frankfurt: balanced profile (how Adi Hütter plays) · Hamburger SV: balanced profile (how Merlin Polzin plays)