2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
Eintracht Braunschweig 1–0 Holstein Kiel
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Eintracht-Stadion, Braunschweig
Eintracht BraunschweigTeam 1594Holstein KielTeam 1751We gave Holstein Kiel 39% to win: Eintracht Braunschweig won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 31% · 30% · 39%(Eintracht Braunschweig · draw · Holstein Kiel)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Eintracht Braunschweig €749K, Holstein Kiel €1.2M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Eintracht Braunschweig
15th in 2. Bundesliga · 4 pts from 6
- 19 SepL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1623
- 12 SepDDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1659
- 6 SepLVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1674
- 28 AugLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1708
- 23 AugLUnion Berlin Germany DFB Pokal1719
Holstein Kiel
16th in 2. Bundesliga · 4 pts from 6
- 19 SepDVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1768
- 13 SepL1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1773
- 5 SepD1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1809
- 30 AugL1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1821
- 22 AugWTSV 1860 München Germany DFB Pokal1792
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 4 /6 | 33.0 | 0% | <1% | 69% | 18th |
| Holstein Kiel | 4 /6 | 41.7 | <1% | 4% | 19% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Eintracht Braunschweig · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1702
Holstein Kiel · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1814
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Eintracht Braunschweig: direct (how Lars Kornetka plays) · Holstein Kiel: balanced profile (how Tim Laszlo Walter plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.