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Segunda División · Regular Season - 10

Eibar 1–1 Mallorca

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar

Eibar crestEibarTeam 1891
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Mallorca crestMallorcaTeam 1886

Match story

Eibar · draw · Mallorca

Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%

Live chances: Eibar 0%, draw 100%, Mallorca 0% at 90+8'2' · 0–0 · Eibar 45%, draw 28%, Mallorca 27%3' · 0–0 · Eibar 45%, draw 28%, Mallorca 27%4' · 0–0 · Eibar 45%, draw 28%, Mallorca 27%5' · 0–0 · Eibar 45%, draw 28%, Mallorca 27%6' · 0–0 · Eibar 45%, draw 29%, Mallorca 27%7' · 0–0 · Eibar 44%, draw 29%, Mallorca 27%8' · 0–0 · Eibar 44%, draw 29%, Mallorca 27%9' · 0–0 · Eibar 44%, draw 29%, Mallorca 27%10' · 0–0 · Eibar 44%, draw 29%, Mallorca 27%11' · 0–0 · Eibar 44%, draw 29%, Mallorca 27%12' · 0–0 · Eibar 44%, draw 29%, Mallorca 27%13' · 0–0 · Eibar 44%, draw 29%, Mallorca 27%14' · 0–0 · Eibar 44%, draw 30%, Mallorca 27%16' · 0–0 · Eibar 43%, draw 30%, Mallorca 27%17' · 0–0 · Eibar 43%, draw 30%, Mallorca 27%18' · 0–0 · Eibar 43%, draw 30%, Mallorca 27%19' · 0–0 · Eibar 43%, draw 30%, Mallorca 27%20' · 0–0 · Eibar 43%, draw 31%, Mallorca 27%21' · 0–0 · Eibar 43%, draw 31%, Mallorca 27%22' · 0–0 · Eibar 42%, draw 31%, Mallorca 27%23' · 0–0 · Eibar 42%, draw 31%, Mallorca 27%24' · 0–0 · Eibar 42%, draw 31%, Mallorca 27%25' · 0–0 · Eibar 42%, draw 31%, Mallorca 27%26' · 0–0 · Eibar 42%, draw 32%, Mallorca 27%27' · 0–0 · Eibar 42%, draw 32%, Mallorca 27%28' · 0–0 · Eibar 42%, draw 32%, Mallorca 27%30' · 0–0 · Eibar 41%, draw 32%, Mallorca 26%31' · 0–0 · Eibar 41%, draw 33%, Mallorca 26%32' · 0–0 · Eibar 41%, draw 33%, Mallorca 26%33' · 0–0 · Eibar 41%, draw 33%, Mallorca 26%34' · 0–0 · Eibar 40%, draw 33%, Mallorca 26%35' · 0–0 · Eibar 40%, draw 34%, Mallorca 26%36' · 0–0 · Eibar 40%, draw 34%, Mallorca 26%37' · 0–0 · Eibar 40%, draw 34%, Mallorca 26%38' · 0–0 · Eibar 40%, draw 34%, Mallorca 26%39' · 0–0 · Eibar 39%, draw 35%, Mallorca 26%40' · 0–0 · Eibar 39%, draw 35%, Mallorca 26%41' · 0–0 · Eibar 39%, draw 35%, Mallorca 26%42' · 0–0 · Eibar 39%, draw 35%, Mallorca 26%43' · 0–0 · Eibar 39%, draw 36%, Mallorca 26%45' · 0–0 · Eibar 38%, draw 36%, Mallorca 26%45+1' · 0–0 · Eibar 38%, draw 37%, Mallorca 25%HT · 0–0 · Eibar 37%, draw 38%, Mallorca 25%46' · 0–0 · Eibar 37%, draw 38%, Mallorca 25%47' · 0–0 · Eibar 37%, draw 38%, Mallorca 25%48' · 0–0 · Eibar 37%, draw 38%, Mallorca 25%49' · 0–0 · Eibar 36%, draw 39%, Mallorca 25%50' · 0–0 · Eibar 36%, draw 39%, Mallorca 25%51' · 0–0 · Eibar 36%, draw 40%, Mallorca 25%52' · 0–0 · Eibar 35%, draw 40%, Mallorca 24%53' · 0–1 · Eibar 14%, draw 28%, Mallorca 58%55' · 0–1 · Eibar 13%, draw 28%, Mallorca 59%56' · 0–1 · Eibar 13%, draw 28%, Mallorca 60%57' · 0–1 · Eibar 12%, draw 28%, Mallorca 60%58' · 0–1 · Eibar 12%, draw 27%, Mallorca 61%59' · 0–1 · Eibar 12%, draw 27%, Mallorca 61%60' · 0–1 · Eibar 11%, draw 27%, Mallorca 62%61' · 0–1 · Eibar 11%, draw 27%, Mallorca 62%62' · 0–1 · Eibar 10%, draw 27%, Mallorca 63%63' · 0–1 · Eibar 10%, draw 27%, Mallorca 63%64' · 0–1 · Eibar 10%, draw 27%, Mallorca 64%65' · 0–1 · Eibar 9%, draw 26%, Mallorca 64%66' · 0–1 · Eibar 9%, draw 26%, Mallorca 65%67' · 0–1 · Eibar 8%, draw 26%, Mallorca 66%68' · 0–1 · Eibar 8%, draw 26%, Mallorca 66%69' · 0–1 · Eibar 8%, draw 25%, Mallorca 67%70' · 0–1 · Eibar 7%, draw 25%, Mallorca 68%71' · 0–1 · Eibar 7%, draw 25%, Mallorca 68%72' · 0–1 · Eibar 7%, draw 24%, Mallorca 69%73' · 0–1 · Eibar 6%, draw 24%, Mallorca 70%74' · 0–1 · Eibar 6%, draw 24%, Mallorca 71%75' · 0–1 · Eibar 6%, draw 23%, Mallorca 71%76' · 0–1 · Eibar 5%, draw 23%, Mallorca 72%77' · 0–1 · Eibar 5%, draw 22%, Mallorca 73%78' · 0–1 · Eibar 4%, draw 22%, Mallorca 74%79' · 0–1 · Eibar 4%, draw 21%, Mallorca 75%80' · 0–1 · Eibar 4%, draw 20%, Mallorca 76%81' · 0–1 · Eibar 3%, draw 20%, Mallorca 77%82' · 0–1 · Eibar 6%, draw 25%, Mallorca 69%83' · 0–1 · Eibar 5%, draw 24%, Mallorca 71%84' · 0–1 · Eibar 4%, draw 23%, Mallorca 72%85' · 0–1 · Eibar 4%, draw 22%, Mallorca 74%86' · 0–1 · Eibar 3%, draw 21%, Mallorca 76%87' · 0–1 · Eibar 3%, draw 20%, Mallorca 77%88' · 0–1 · Eibar 2%, draw 18%, Mallorca 79%89' · 0–1 · Eibar 2%, draw 17%, Mallorca 81%90' · 0–1 · Eibar 2%, draw 15%, Mallorca 83%90+2' · 0–1 · Eibar 1%, draw 11%, Mallorca 88%90+3' · 0–1 · Eibar 0%, draw 9%, Mallorca 90%90+4' · 0–1 · Eibar 0%, draw 7%, Mallorca 93%90+5' · 1–1 · Eibar 4%, draw 95%, Mallorca 1%90+6' · 1–1 · Eibar 1%, draw 98%, Mallorca 1%90+7' · 1–1 · Eibar 0%, draw 100%, Mallorca 0%90+8' · 1–1 · Eibar 0%, draw 100%, Mallorca 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Eibar 45% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 19'Mallorca:Antonio José Raíllo Arenas 1923 +1
  2. 45'Eibar:Javier Martón Ansó 1871 −1 for Jon Bautista 1850 −3
  3. 45'Eibar:Peru Nolaskoain 1886 −1 for Unai Elgezabal Udondo 1945 −6
  4. 52'Mallorca:Adrian Fuentes 1905 +5 assist Adrian Liso 1891 +8
  5. 54'Mallorca:Zito Luvumbo 1898 +2
  6. 63'Mallorca:Guille Fernández 1871 +1 for Pablo Torre 1930 +2
  7. 66'Eibar:Pejiño 1694 −2 for jon guruzeta 1921 −1
  8. 71'Eibar:Lucas Nuñez Ramirez 1766 0 for Ander Madariaga Susaeta 1948 −1
  9. 71'Mallorca:Antonio Latorre Grueso 1851 0 for Alberto Moreno 1946 −4
  10. 71'Mallorca:Sergi Darder 1962 −4 for Zito Luvumbo 1898 +2
  11. 73'Mallorca:Adrian Fuentes 1905 +5
  12. 76'Eibar:Markel Arana Mateo 1631 −8* for Anaitz Arbilla 1827 −14
  13. 81'Mallorca:John Donald 1967 +2
  14. 83'Mallorca:Abdón Prats 1444
  15. 84'Mallorca:Miguel Calatayud García 1731 0 for Alex Sala 1854 +3
  16. 84'Eibar:Javier Martón Ansó 1871 −1 (penalty missed)
  17. 85'Mallorca:Adam Buksa 1916 −2 for Adrian Fuentes 1905 +5
  18. 90+1'Eibar:Malcom Ares 1906 −2
  19. 90+4'Eibar:Iván Gil 1800 −1 (pen.)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GJon Mikel1992−4
DÁlvaro Rodríguez1797−4
DUnai Elgezabal1945−6
DAnaitz Arbilla1827−14
DJuan Bernat1917−6
MAnder Madariaga1948−1
MAleix Garrido1926−3
MMalcom Adu1906−2
MIván Gil1800−1
MJon Guruzeta1921−1
FJon Bautista1850−3
CJokin Arambarri18090
GArnau Tenas1943+7
DJohn Nwankwo1967+2
DM. Valjent2061+2
DRaíllo1923+1
DAlberto Moreno1946−4
MJosep Cerdà1801
MÁlex Sala1854+3
MAntonio Sánchez1844+2
MAdrian Liso1891+8
FFuentes1905+5
FPablo Torre1930+2
CLuis García1904+5
Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%(Eibar · draw · Mallorca)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Eibar €1.1M, Mallorca €2.1M.
  • Home advantage made Eibar the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in possession (Segunda División): Eibar ranked #4 of 24, Mallorca #21.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Eibar

2nd in Segunda División · 21 pts from 9

  • 12 OctLOviedo 1897
  • 3 OctWAlbacete 1885
  • 27 SepWLas Palmas 1870
  • 19 SepWEldense 1843
  • 14 SepWCelta de Vigo II 1818

Mallorca

4th in Segunda División · 17 pts from 9

  • 11 OctWLas Palmas 1886
  • 4 OctDGirona 1867
  • 27 SepLAlmeria 1858
  • 19 SepWReal Sociedad II 1872
  • 13 SepWSabadell 1851

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Eibar21 /974.123%69%0%1st
Mallorca17 /971.513%56%0%2nd
Eibar
Mallorca

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Aleix Garrido
Aleix Garrido

Eibar · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1928

Raíllo
Raíllo

Mallorca · +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1922

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Jokin Arambarri Arrizabalaga

Coach DNA: –

Luis García Fernández

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Eibar: balanced profile (how Jokin Arambarri Arrizabalaga plays) · Mallorca: direct (how Luis García Fernández plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.