Segunda División · Regular Season - 14
Eibar vs Cadiz
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Eibar host Cadiz on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Eibar 54%, draw 26%, Cadiz 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Eibar €1.1M, Cadiz €737K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Eibar goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Eibar 1844 · Cadiz 1734
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Eibar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Elite) · Elo 1918
Cadiz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1571
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Eibar
3rd in Segunda División · 22 pts from 11
- 24 OctLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1807
- 17 OctDMallorca Spain Segunda Division1884
- 12 OctLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1894
- 3 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1883
- 27 SepWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1870
Cadiz
18th in Segunda División · 10 pts from 11
- 25 OctWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1700
- 18 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1693
- 11 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1757
- 3 OctWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1693
- 26 SepDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1672
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 22 /11 | 70.0 | 7% | 39% | 0% | 5th |
| Cadiz | 10 /11 | 49.3 | 0% | <1% | 15% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Eibar: balanced profile (how Jokin Arambarri plays) · Cadiz: balanced profile (how Borja Jiménez plays)