Premier League · Regular Season - 15
Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC · VTB Arena, Moscow
Dynamo host FC Krasnodar on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dynamo 47%, draw 27%, FC Krasnodar 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dynamo €4.2M, FC Krasnodar €4.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dynamo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Dynamo 1990 · FC Krasnodar 1952
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dynamo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2099
FC Krasnodar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1933
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dynamo
2nd in Premier Liga · 31 pts from 14
- 7 NovWFakel Russia Premier League2005
- 31 OctWAkhmat Russia Premier League1983
- 24 OctLAkron Russia Premier League2012
- 18 OctWCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1977
- 11 OctWRubin Russia Premier League1993
FC Krasnodar
4th in Premier Liga · 26 pts from 14
- 7 NovWCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1954
- 31 OctLRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1970
- 24 OctDBaltika Russia Premier League1996
- 17 OctDLokomotiv Russia Premier League1969
- 10 OctLZenit Russia Premier League1992
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo | 31 /14 | 59.6 | 18% | 93% | 0% | 2nd |
| FC Krasnodar | 26 /14 | 53.1 | 2% | 58% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dynamo: shot-heavy · creative (how Sandro Schwarz plays) · FC Krasnodar: balanced profile (how Murad Musaev plays)