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Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Dynamo 3–1 CSKA Moscow

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:15 UTC · VTB Arena, Moscow

Dynamo crestDynamoTeam 1959
3–1
Full time
HT 1–1
CSKA Moscow crestCSKA MoscowTeam 1934

Match story

Dynamo · draw · CSKA Moscow

Before kick-off: 46% · 28% · 26%

Live chances: Dynamo 100%, draw 0%, CSKA Moscow 0% at 90+5'3' · 0–0 · Dynamo 46%, draw 28%, CSKA Moscow 26%4' · 0–0 · Dynamo 46%, draw 28%, CSKA Moscow 26%5' · 0–0 · Dynamo 46%, draw 28%, CSKA Moscow 26%6' · 0–0 · Dynamo 46%, draw 28%, CSKA Moscow 26%7' · 0–0 · Dynamo 46%, draw 28%, CSKA Moscow 26%8' · 0–0 · Dynamo 46%, draw 29%, CSKA Moscow 26%9' · 0–0 · Dynamo 45%, draw 29%, CSKA Moscow 26%11' · 0–0 · Dynamo 45%, draw 29%, CSKA Moscow 26%12' · 0–0 · Dynamo 45%, draw 29%, CSKA Moscow 26%13' · 0–0 · Dynamo 45%, draw 29%, CSKA Moscow 26%14' · 0–0 · Dynamo 45%, draw 29%, CSKA Moscow 26%15' · 0–0 · Dynamo 45%, draw 30%, CSKA Moscow 26%16' · 0–0 · Dynamo 44%, draw 30%, CSKA Moscow 26%17' · 0–0 · Dynamo 44%, draw 30%, CSKA Moscow 26%18' · 0–0 · Dynamo 44%, draw 30%, CSKA Moscow 26%19' · 0–0 · Dynamo 44%, draw 30%, CSKA Moscow 26%20' · 0–0 · Dynamo 44%, draw 30%, CSKA Moscow 26%21' · 0–0 · Dynamo 44%, draw 30%, CSKA Moscow 26%22' · 0–0 · Dynamo 44%, draw 31%, CSKA Moscow 26%23' · 0–0 · Dynamo 43%, draw 31%, CSKA Moscow 26%24' · 0–0 · Dynamo 43%, draw 31%, CSKA Moscow 26%25' · 0–0 · Dynamo 43%, draw 31%, CSKA Moscow 26%26' · 0–0 · Dynamo 43%, draw 31%, CSKA Moscow 26%27' · 0–0 · Dynamo 43%, draw 32%, CSKA Moscow 26%28' · 0–0 · Dynamo 43%, draw 32%, CSKA Moscow 26%30' · 0–0 · Dynamo 42%, draw 32%, CSKA Moscow 26%31' · 0–0 · Dynamo 42%, draw 32%, CSKA Moscow 26%32' · 1–0 · Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 9%32' · 0–0 · Dynamo 42%, draw 33%, CSKA Moscow 26%34' · 1–0 · Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%35' · 1–0 · Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%36' · 1–0 · Dynamo 55%, draw 28%, CSKA Moscow 18%37' · 1–0 · Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%38' · 1–0 · Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%39' · 1–0 · Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%40' · 1–0 · Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%41' · 1–0 · Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%42' · 1–0 · Dynamo 73%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%43' · 1–0 · Dynamo 73%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 8%44' · 1–0 · Dynamo 73%, draw 20%, CSKA Moscow 7%45' · 1–1 · Dynamo 39%, draw 36%, CSKA Moscow 25%45+1' · 1–1 · Dynamo 39%, draw 36%, CSKA Moscow 25%45+2' · 1–1 · Dynamo 38%, draw 37%, CSKA Moscow 25%HT · 1–1 · Dynamo 38%, draw 37%, CSKA Moscow 25%46' · 1–1 · Dynamo 38%, draw 37%, CSKA Moscow 25%47' · 1–1 · Dynamo 38%, draw 38%, CSKA Moscow 24%48' · 1–1 · Dynamo 37%, draw 38%, CSKA Moscow 24%49' · 1–1 · Dynamo 37%, draw 39%, CSKA Moscow 24%50' · 1–1 · Dynamo 37%, draw 39%, CSKA Moscow 24%51' · 1–1 · Dynamo 36%, draw 40%, CSKA Moscow 24%52' · 1–1 · Dynamo 36%, draw 40%, CSKA Moscow 24%53' · 1–1 · Dynamo 36%, draw 41%, CSKA Moscow 24%55' · 1–1 · Dynamo 35%, draw 42%, CSKA Moscow 23%56' · 1–1 · Dynamo 34%, draw 42%, CSKA Moscow 23%57' · 1–1 · Dynamo 34%, draw 43%, CSKA Moscow 23%58' · 1–1 · Dynamo 34%, draw 44%, CSKA Moscow 23%59' · 1–1 · Dynamo 33%, draw 44%, CSKA Moscow 23%60' · 1–1 · Dynamo 33%, draw 45%, CSKA Moscow 22%61' · 1–1 · Dynamo 32%, draw 46%, CSKA Moscow 22%62' · 1–1 · Dynamo 32%, draw 46%, CSKA Moscow 22%63' · 1–1 · Dynamo 31%, draw 47%, CSKA Moscow 22%64' · 1–1 · Dynamo 31%, draw 48%, CSKA Moscow 21%65' · 1–1 · Dynamo 30%, draw 48%, CSKA Moscow 21%67' · 1–1 · Dynamo 29%, draw 50%, CSKA Moscow 21%68' · 1–1 · Dynamo 29%, draw 51%, CSKA Moscow 20%69' · 1–1 · Dynamo 28%, draw 52%, CSKA Moscow 20%70' · 1–1 · Dynamo 28%, draw 53%, CSKA Moscow 20%71' · 1–1 · Dynamo 27%, draw 53%, CSKA Moscow 19%72' · 1–1 · Dynamo 27%, draw 54%, CSKA Moscow 19%75' · 1–1 · Dynamo 25%, draw 57%, CSKA Moscow 18%76' · 1–1 · Dynamo 24%, draw 59%, CSKA Moscow 17%77' · 1–1 · Dynamo 23%, draw 60%, CSKA Moscow 17%78' · 1–1 · Dynamo 23%, draw 61%, CSKA Moscow 16%80' · 1–1 · Dynamo 21%, draw 64%, CSKA Moscow 15%81' · 1–1 · Dynamo 20%, draw 65%, CSKA Moscow 15%82' · 1–1 · Dynamo 19%, draw 67%, CSKA Moscow 14%83' · 1–1 · Dynamo 18%, draw 68%, CSKA Moscow 14%84' · 1–1 · Dynamo 17%, draw 70%, CSKA Moscow 13%85' · 1–1 · Dynamo 16%, draw 71%, CSKA Moscow 12%86' · 1–1 · Dynamo 15%, draw 73%, CSKA Moscow 12%87' · 1–1 · Dynamo 14%, draw 75%, CSKA Moscow 11%88' · 1–1 · Dynamo 13%, draw 77%, CSKA Moscow 10%89' · 2–1 · Dynamo 91%, draw 9%, CSKA Moscow 1%90' · 2–1 · Dynamo 92%, draw 8%, CSKA Moscow 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Dynamo 93%, draw 7%, CSKA Moscow 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Dynamo 94%, draw 6%, CSKA Moscow 0%90+3' · 3–1 · Dynamo 100%, draw 0%, CSKA Moscow 0%90+4' · 3–1 · Dynamo 100%, draw 0%, CSKA Moscow 0%90+5' · 3–1 · Dynamo 100%, draw 0%, CSKA Moscow 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Dynamo 46% to win: they did.

  1. 27'CSKA Moscow:Luciano Gondou 1980 −3
  2. 31'Dynamo:Konstantin Tyukavin 2049 +25 assist Yaroslav Gladyshev 1990 +29
  3. 43'CSKA Moscow:Ivan Oblyakov 2050 −25 (pen.)
  4. 45'Dynamo:Daniil Fomin 1953 +12
  5. 67'CSKA Moscow:Matheus Alves 1832 0 for Kirill Glebov 1898 0
  6. 68'Dynamo:Maximiliano Gutierrez 1730 −2* for Arthur Gomes 2015 +8
  7. 69'Dynamo:Maksim Osipenko 1987 −9* for Dmitriy Skopintsev 1911 +10
  8. 69'CSKA Moscow:Maksim Voronov for Luciano Gondou 1980 −3
  9. 76'Dynamo:Viktor Okishor 1584 +13 for Yaroslav Gladyshev 1990 +29
  10. 80'CSKA Moscow:Imran Firov 1644 −8* for Ivan Oleynikov 1826 −1
  11. 81'Dynamo:Ivan Sergeev 1767 −1 for Konstantin Tyukavin 2049 +25
  12. 88'Dynamo:Roberto Fernandez 1915 +36* assist Bitello 2081 +24
  13. 90'Dynamo:Roberto Fernandez 1915 +36*
  14. 90+2'Dynamo:Viktor Okishor 1584 +13 assist Ivan Sergeev 1767 −1
  15. 90+4'Dynamo:Danil Glebov 2009 +11

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations5-3-2
GA. Lunev1966+10
DR. Fernández1915+36*
DN. Marichal2053+27
DDavid Ricardo2116+20
DD. Skopintsev1911+10
MD. Fomin1953+12
MD. Glebov2009+11
MY. Gladyshev1990+29
MBitello2081+24
MArthur Gomes2015+8
FK. Tyukavin2049+25
CS. Schwarz2032+20
GV. Torop19010
DM. Azzi17270
DJoão Victor1982−5
DM. Zea1888−8*
DDzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov16670
DD. Krugovoy2031−9
MM. Kislyak2093−11
MI. Oblyakov2050−25
MK. Glebov18980
FL. Gondou1980−3
FI. Oleynikov1826−1
CDmitriy Igdisamov18340
Before kick-off: 46% · 28% · 26%(Dynamo · draw · CSKA Moscow)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–1 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Dynamo €4.2M, CSKA Moscow €4.1M.
  • Dynamo were without 2 expected starters: J. Cáceres (2077) and Rubens (1978).
  • Dynamo had won their last 5 matches.
  • CSKA Moscow were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Dynamo

1st in Premier Liga · 22 pts from 10

  • 11 OctWRubin 2003
  • 17 SepWFC Rostov 1981
  • 12 SepWFC Orenburg 1953
  • 6 SepWSpartak Moscow 1951
  • 29 AugWLokomotiv 1904

CSKA Moscow

2nd in Premier Liga · 22 pts from 10

  • 11 OctWRodina Moskva 1911
  • 17 SepWDinamo Makhachkala 1886
  • 12 SepDRubin 1922
  • 5 SepWZenit 1895
  • 28 AugDAkron 1888

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Dynamo22 /1057.212%82%0%2nd
CSKA Moscow22 /1054.35%65%0%5th
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

David Ricardo
David Ricardo

Dynamo · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2096

I. Oblyakov
I. Oblyakov

CSKA Moscow · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2075

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sandro Schwarz

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Dmitriy Igdisamov

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Dynamo: shot-heavy · creative (how Sandro Schwarz plays) · CSKA Moscow: possession-based (how Dmitriy Igdisamov plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.