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Premier League · Regular Season - 8

Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 Karpaty

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Valeriy Lobanovsky Dynamo Stadium, Kiev

Dynamo Kyiv crestDynamo KyivTeam 1772
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Karpaty crestKarpatyTeam 1568

Match story

Dynamo Kyiv · draw · Karpaty

Before kick-off: 57% · 25% · 17%

Live chances: Dynamo Kyiv 98%, draw 2%, Karpaty 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 57%, draw 26%, Karpaty 17%3' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 57%, draw 26%, Karpaty 18%4' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 57%, draw 26%, Karpaty 18%5' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 56%, draw 26%, Karpaty 18%6' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 56%, draw 26%, Karpaty 18%7' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 56%, draw 26%, Karpaty 18%8' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 56%, draw 27%, Karpaty 18%9' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 56%, draw 27%, Karpaty 18%10' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 55%, draw 27%, Karpaty 18%11' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 55%, draw 27%, Karpaty 18%12' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 55%, draw 27%, Karpaty 18%13' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 55%, draw 27%, Karpaty 18%14' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 54%, draw 28%, Karpaty 18%15' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 54%, draw 28%, Karpaty 18%16' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 54%, draw 28%, Karpaty 18%17' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 54%, draw 28%, Karpaty 18%18' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 53%, draw 29%, Karpaty 18%19' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 53%, draw 29%, Karpaty 18%20' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 53%, draw 29%, Karpaty 18%21' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 53%, draw 29%, Karpaty 18%22' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 52%, draw 29%, Karpaty 18%23' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 52%, draw 30%, Karpaty 18%24' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 52%, draw 30%, Karpaty 18%25' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 52%, draw 30%, Karpaty 18%26' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 51%, draw 30%, Karpaty 18%27' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 51%, draw 31%, Karpaty 18%28' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 51%, draw 31%, Karpaty 18%29' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 51%, draw 31%, Karpaty 18%30' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 50%, draw 31%, Karpaty 18%31' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 50%, draw 32%, Karpaty 18%32' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 50%, draw 32%, Karpaty 18%33' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 49%, draw 32%, Karpaty 18%34' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 49%, draw 33%, Karpaty 18%35' · 0–1 · Dynamo Kyiv 26%, draw 29%, Karpaty 45%36' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 48%, draw 33%, Karpaty 18%37' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 48%, draw 34%, Karpaty 18%38' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 48%, draw 34%, Karpaty 18%39' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 47%, draw 34%, Karpaty 18%40' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 47%, draw 35%, Karpaty 18%41' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 47%, draw 35%, Karpaty 18%42' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 46%, draw 35%, Karpaty 18%43' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 46%, draw 36%, Karpaty 18%44' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 46%, draw 36%, Karpaty 18%45' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 45%, draw 36%, Karpaty 18%45+1' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 45%, draw 37%, Karpaty 18%45+2' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 44%, draw 37%, Karpaty 18%45+3' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 44%, draw 38%, Karpaty 18%HT · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 44%, draw 38%, Karpaty 18%46' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 44%, draw 38%, Karpaty 18%47' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 43%, draw 38%, Karpaty 18%48' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 43%, draw 39%, Karpaty 18%49' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 43%, draw 39%, Karpaty 18%50' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 42%, draw 40%, Karpaty 18%52' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 41%, draw 41%, Karpaty 18%53' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 41%, draw 42%, Karpaty 18%54' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 40%, draw 42%, Karpaty 18%55' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 39%, draw 43%, Karpaty 17%56' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 39%, draw 44%, Karpaty 17%58' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 38%, draw 45%, Karpaty 17%59' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 37%, draw 46%, Karpaty 17%60' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 36%, draw 47%, Karpaty 17%61' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 36%, draw 48%, Karpaty 17%62' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 35%, draw 48%, Karpaty 17%63' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 35%, draw 49%, Karpaty 16%64' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 46%, draw 44%, Karpaty 9%65' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 45%, draw 45%, Karpaty 9%66' · 0–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 45%, draw 46%, Karpaty 9%67' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 91%, draw 9%, Karpaty 1%68' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 91%, draw 9%, Karpaty 1%69' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 91%, draw 9%, Karpaty 1%70' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 91%, draw 8%, Karpaty 1%71' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 91%, draw 8%, Karpaty 1%72' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 91%, draw 8%, Karpaty 1%73' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 91%, draw 8%, Karpaty 1%74' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 91%, draw 8%, Karpaty 1%75' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 92%, draw 8%, Karpaty 1%76' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 92%, draw 8%, Karpaty 1%77' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 92%, draw 8%, Karpaty 1%78' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 92%, draw 7%, Karpaty 0%79' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 92%, draw 7%, Karpaty 0%80' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 93%, draw 7%, Karpaty 0%81' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 93%, draw 7%, Karpaty 0%82' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 93%, draw 7%, Karpaty 0%83' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 93%, draw 6%, Karpaty 0%84' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 94%, draw 6%, Karpaty 0%85' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 94%, draw 6%, Karpaty 0%86' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 94%, draw 6%, Karpaty 0%87' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 95%, draw 5%, Karpaty 0%88' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 95%, draw 5%, Karpaty 0%89' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 95%, draw 4%, Karpaty 0%90' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 96%, draw 4%, Karpaty 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 96%, draw 3%, Karpaty 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 97%, draw 3%, Karpaty 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 98%, draw 2%, Karpaty 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Dynamo Kyiv 98%, draw 2%, Karpaty 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Dynamo Kyiv 57% to win: they did.

  1. 22'Karpaty:Nazariy Rusyn 1620 −11*
  2. 30'Dynamo Kyiv:Valentyn Rubchynskyi 1758 +9*
  3. 48'Karpaty:Joseph Séry 1253 −8*
  4. 54'Karpaty:Marko Sapuga 1618 −11*
  5. 59'Karpaty:Rostyslav Lyakh 1675 −10* for Joseph Séry 1253 −8*
  6. 62'Karpaty:Nazariy Rusyn 1620 −11*
  7. 63'Dynamo Kyiv:Nazar Voloshyn 1856 −4* for Vladyslav Kabaev 1788 +1*
  8. 63'Dynamo Kyiv:Keasse Bah 1549 +1* for Andriy Yarmolenko 1510 +11
  9. 66'Dynamo Kyiv:Matviy Ponomarenko 1807 +45 assist Nazar Voloshyn 1856 −4*
  10. 67'Karpaty:Ivan Calero 1656 −12* for Roman Vantukh 1578 −10*
  11. 67'Karpaty:Oleksandr Diedov 1399 −8* for Marko Sapuga 1618 −11*
  12. 74'Dynamo Kyiv:Mykola Mykhaylenko 1792 0* for Justin Lonwijk 1834 +12
  13. 76'Dynamo Kyiv:Keasse Bah 1549 +1*
  14. 83'Karpaty:Jean Pedroso 1601 −11*
  15. 84'Dynamo Kyiv:Oleksandr Pikhalyonok 1746 −1 for Valentyn Rubchynskyi 1758 +9*
  16. 85'Dynamo Kyiv:Matviy Ponomarenko 1807 +45
  17. 86'Karpaty:Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento for Mohamed Aiman Moukhliss 1620 −12*
  18. 86'Karpaty:Fellipe Vieira 1433 −8* for Denys Miroshnichenko 1612 −15*
  19. 87'Karpaty:Oleksandr Diedov 1399 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-1-4-1
GR. Mysak1279−11*
DD. Miroshnichenko1612−15*
DV. Baboglo1682−22
DJean Pedroso1601−11*
DR. Vantukh1578−10*
MM. Sapuga1618−11*
MXeber Alkain1676−17*
MA. Chachua1621−17*
MMoha1620−12*
MN. Rusyn1620−11*
FJ. Séry1253−8*
CFran Fernández1622−16*
Before kick-off: 57% · 25% · 17%(Dynamo Kyiv · draw · Karpaty)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–0 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Dynamo Kyiv €1.6M, Karpaty €532K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Dynamo Kyiv

5th in Premier League · 13 pts from 6

  • 19 SepWZorya Luhansk 1766
  • 14 SepWEpitsentr Dunayivtsi 1763
  • 6 SepDLNZ Cherkasy 1771
  • 16 AugWKolos Kovalivka 1770
  • 13 AugLQarabag 1751

Karpaty

4th in Premier League · 14 pts from 7

  • 20 SepDVeres Rivne 1558
  • 5 SepLShakhtar Donetsk 1640
  • 29 AugDLivyi Bereh 1607
  • 15 AugWBukovyna 1642
  • 10 AugWLNZ Cherkasy 1644

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Dynamo Kyiv13 /659.04%92%0%3rd
Karpaty14 /747.40%20%0%5th
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Lonwijk
J. Lonwijk

Dynamo Kyiv · +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1822

V. Baboglo
V. Baboglo

Karpaty · -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1704

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Igor Kostyuk

Coach DNA: –

Fran Fernandez

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Dynamo Kyiv: possession-based · low-block (how Igor Kostyuk plays) · Karpaty: balanced profile (how Fran Fernandez plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.