2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Dynamo Dresden 2–0 1. FC Magdeburg
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden
Dynamo DresdenTeam 1661
1. FC MagdeburgTeam 1843Match story
Dynamo Dresden · draw · 1. FC MagdeburgBefore kick-off: 31% · 26% · 43%
Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Niklas Hauptmann 9' (pen)
- Simon Straudi 50'
We gave 1. FC Magdeburg 43% to win: Dynamo Dresden won.
- Niklas Hauptmann 1759 +35 (pen.)9'
Dynamo Dresden:Niklas Hauptmann 1759 +35 (pen.) - Simon Straudi 1721 +4750'
Dynamo Dresden:Simon Straudi 1721 +47 - 55'Alexander Nollenberger 1837 −9* for Herbert Bockhorn 1750 −4
1. FC Magdeburg:Alexander Nollenberger 1837 −9* for Herbert Bockhorn 1750 −4 - 55'Felipe Chávez 2024 −5 for Luka Hyryläinen 1747 0
1. FC Magdeburg:Felipe Chávez 2024 −5 for Luka Hyryläinen 1747 0 - Jakob Lemmer 1691 +9 for Ben Bobzien 1740 +1172'
Dynamo Dresden:Jakob Lemmer 1691 +9 for Ben Bobzien 1740 +11 - 77'Magnus Elias Walther Baars 1470 −8* for Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 1854 −2
1. FC Magdeburg:Magnus Elias Walther Baars 1470 −8* for Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 1854 −2 - Ahmet Muhamedbegovic 1637 +2 for Nicolai Rapp 1775 +2980'
Dynamo Dresden:Ahmet Muhamedbegovic 1637 +2 for Nicolai Rapp 1775 +29 - Nils Fröling 1535 −5* for Vincent Vermeij 1737 +981'
Dynamo Dresden:Nils Fröling 1535 −5* for Vincent Vermeij 1737 +9 - Ahmet Muhamedbegovic 1637 +285'
Dynamo Dresden:Ahmet Muhamedbegovic 1637 +2 - Luca Herrmann 1633 −8* for Niklas Hauptmann 1759 +3587'
Dynamo Dresden:Luca Herrmann 1633 −8* for Niklas Hauptmann 1759 +35 - Kaan Inanoglu 1183 −6* for Patrice Čović 1659 +2087'
Dynamo Dresden:Kaan Inanoglu 1183 −6* for Patrice Čović 1659 +20 - 87'Roko Simic 1764 0 for Mateusz Zukowski 1872 −2
1. FC Magdeburg:Roko Simic 1764 0 for Mateusz Zukowski 1872 −2 - 87'Richmond Tachie – for Pierre Nadjombe 1808 0
1. FC Magdeburg:Richmond Tachie – for Pierre Nadjombe 1808 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 31% · 26% · 43%(Dynamo Dresden · draw · 1. FC Magdeburg)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–0 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Dynamo Dresden €930K, 1. FC Magdeburg €1.1M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dynamo Dresden
17th in 2. Bundesliga · 5 pts from 7
- 10 OctDVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1720
- 19 SepLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1722
- 12 SepDEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1734
- 5 SepLVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1756
- 29 AugL1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1721
1. FC Magdeburg
6th in 2. Bundesliga · 13 pts from 7
- 10 OctWHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1791
- 18 SepDSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1807
- 12 SepW1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1766
- 6 SepLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1782
- 30 AugWHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1761
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 5 /7 | 36.6 | 0% | <1% | 46% | 18th |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 13 /7 | 50.7 | 2% | 27% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Dynamo Dresden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1746

1. FC Magdeburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1922
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dynamo Dresden: balanced profile (how Thomas Stamm plays) · 1. FC Magdeburg: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Petrik Sander plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.