Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 12
Dunkerque vs Guingamp
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Dunkerque host Guingamp on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dunkerque 50%, draw 27%, Guingamp 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dunkerque €473K, Guingamp €322K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dunkerque goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Dunkerque 1628 · Guingamp 1519
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dunkerque · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1681
Guingamp · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1611
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dunkerque
10th in Ligue 2 · 11 pts from 9
- 17 OctWNantes France Ligue 21570
- 9 OctLAnnecy France Ligue 21579
- 18 SepLPAU France Ligue 21585
- 12 SepWSaint Etienne France Ligue 21519
- 4 SepDClermont Foot France Ligue 21570
Guingamp
13th in Ligue 2 · 8 pts from 9
- 16 OctLPAU France Ligue 21473
- 9 OctLNancy France Ligue 21531
- 19 SepLRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21546
- 12 SepWAnnecy France Ligue 21475
- 5 SepDReims France Ligue 21463
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 11 /9 | 45.4 | <1% | 7% | 5% | 9th |
| Guingamp | 8 /9 | 35.5 | 0% | <1% | 46% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dunkerque: possession-based (how Albert Sánchez plays) · Guingamp: balanced profile (how Sylvain Ripoll plays)