Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8
Dunkerque 0–1 Annecy
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk
DunkerqueTeam 1554AnnecyTeam 1611We gave Dunkerque 37% to win: Annecy won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 28% · 34%(Dunkerque · draw · Annecy)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Dunkerque €399K, Annecy €600K.
- Style contrast in possession (Ligue 2): Dunkerque ranked #1 of 18, Annecy #17.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dunkerque
12th in Ligue 2 · 8 pts from 7
- 18 SepLPAU France Ligue 21585
- 12 SepWSaint Etienne France Ligue 21519
- 4 SepDClermont Foot France Ligue 21570
- 28 AugLNancy France Ligue 21554
- 21 AugLMontpellier France Ligue 21617
Annecy
7th in Ligue 2 · 10 pts from 7
- 18 SepLDijon France Ligue 21688
- 12 SepLGuingamp France Ligue 21747
- 4 SepWGrenoble France Ligue 21697
- 29 AugDMetz France Ligue 21754
- 24 AugLReims France Ligue 21738
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 8 /7 | 43.7 | 0% | 5% | 9% | 10th |
| Annecy | 10 /7 | 51.9 | 2% | 32% | 1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dunkerque · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1669
Annecy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1774
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dunkerque: possession-based (how Albert Sánchez Saura plays) · Annecy: direct · aggressive (how Laurent Guyot plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.