Championship · Regular Season - 15
Dunfermline vs Arbroath
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · East End Park, Dunfermline
Dunfermline host Arbroath on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dunfermline 49%, draw 27%, Arbroath 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dunfermline €194K, Arbroath €103K.
- B. Terrell, C. Morrison, O. Thomas, A. Amade, Unknown (539149), R. Fraser, F. Turley and A. Tod (Dunfermline) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dunfermline goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Dunfermline 1458 · Arbroath 1383
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Dunfermline from last season's line-ups (latest 14 March 2026).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dunfermline
4th in Championship · 21 pts from 12
- 15 MayLPartick Scotland Premiership1488
- 12 MayDPartick Scotland Premiership1507
- 8 MayDArbroath Scotland Premiership1465
- 5 MayWArbroath Scotland Premiership1482
- 14 MarWRaith Rovers Scottish Championship1491
Arbroath
8th in Championship · 11 pts from 12
- 29 AugWLivingston Scottish Championship1328
- 8 MayDDunfermline Scotland Premiership1306
- 5 MayLDunfermline Scotland Premiership1310
- 28 MarLMorton Scottish Championship1329
- 14 MarDAirdrie United Scottish Championship1286
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 21 /12 | 60.5 | 28% | 92% | 1% | 2nd |
| Arbroath | 11 /12 | 45.6 | <1% | 15% | 36% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Coach DNA: –