Premiership · Regular Season - 9
Dundee 2–2 Rangers
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Dens Park, Dundee
DundeeTeam 1662RangersTeam 2011- Bradley·Fink 37'
- Callum Jones 69'
- Badredine Bouanani 42'
- Nicolas Raskin 60'
We gave Rangers 56% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Bradley·Fink 1737 +1237'Dundee:Bradley·Fink 1737 +12
- 42'Badredine Bouanani 2042 −3Rangers:Badredine Bouanani 2042 −3
- 60'Nicolas Raskin 2146 −7 assist Dan Neil 2038 −3Rangers:Nicolas Raskin 2146 −7 assist Dan Neil 2038 −3
- Alfie Harrison 894 −2* for Joseph Bevan 1449 +766'Dundee:Alfie Harrison 894 −2* for Joseph Bevan 1449 +7
- Ethan Hamilton 1806 +268'Dundee:Ethan Hamilton 1806 +2
- Callum Jones 1594 +1969'Dundee:Callum Jones 1594 +19
- 76'Findlay Curtis 1815 0 for Badredine Bouanani 2042 −3Rangers:Findlay Curtis 1815 0 for Badredine Bouanani 2042 −3
- 76'Kevin Kelsy 1968 0 for Min-su Kim 1892 0Rangers:Kevin Kelsy 1968 0 for Min-su Kim 1892 0
- 77'Dujon Sterling 2030 −1Rangers:Dujon Sterling 2030 −1
- Ashley Hay 1632 +677'Dundee:Ashley Hay 1632 +6
- 84'Nicolas Raskin 2146 −7Rangers:Nicolas Raskin 2146 −7
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 19% · 25% · 56%(Dundee · draw · Rangers)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Dundee €501K, Rangers €3.1M.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Premiership): Dundee ranked #12 of 12, Rangers #1.
- Rangers had won their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dundee
4th in Premiership · 13 pts from 8
- 10 OctWFalkirk Scotland Premiership1669
- 19 SepWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1646
- 6 SepLHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1676
- 2 SepDST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1693
- 30 AugLHibernian Scotland Premiership1678
Rangers
2nd in Premiership · 19 pts from 8
- 10 OctWKilmarnock Scotland Premiership2004
- 20 SepWCeltic Scotland Premiership1966
- 9 SepWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1979
- 5 SepWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1949
- 2 SepWFalkirk Scotland Premiership1918
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 13 /8 | 45.7 | 0% | 38% | 6% | 4th |
| Rangers | 19 /8 | 67.9 | 16% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dundee · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1835
Rangers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2060
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dundee: direct (how Steven Pressley plays) · Rangers: dribble-heavy · creative (how Derek John McInnes plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.