Premiership · Regular Season - 11
Dundee vs Kilmarnock
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Dens Park, Dundee
Dundee host Kilmarnock on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dundee 48%, draw 27%, Kilmarnock 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dundee €543K, Kilmarnock €398K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Premiership): Dundee rank #2 of 12, Kilmarnock #12.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dundee goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: Dundee 1683 · Kilmarnock 1623
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dundee · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1843
Kilmarnock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1668
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dundee
4th in Premiership · 14 pts from 9
- 17 OctDRangers Scotland Premiership1683
- 10 OctWFalkirk Scotland Premiership1669
- 19 SepWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1646
- 6 SepLHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1676
- 2 SepDST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1693
Kilmarnock
11th in Premiership · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1618
- 10 OctLRangers Scotland Premiership1627
- 19 SepDHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1618
- 15 SepWHibernian Scotland Premiership1609
- 5 SepDAberdeen Scotland Premiership1574
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 14 /9 | 44.8 | 0% | 37% | 7% | 4th |
| Kilmarnock | 8 /9 | 35.0 | 0% | 3% | 57% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dundee: direct (how Steven Pressley plays) · Kilmarnock: direct (how Neill McCann plays)