Premiership · Regular Season - 14
Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Dens Park, Dundee
Dundee host Heart Of Midlothian on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dundee 35%, draw 29%, Heart Of Midlothian 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dundee €503K, Heart Of Midlothian €831K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Premiership): Dundee rank #12 of 12, Heart Of Midlothian #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dundee goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- 2–27%
- 0–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.6 pts
Team Elo: Dundee 1687 · Heart Of Midlothian 1792
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dundee · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1821
Heart Of Midlothian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1828
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dundee
5th in Premiership · 17 pts from 12
- 7 NovLST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1707
- 28 OctWKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1692
- 24 OctLST Mirren Scotland Premiership1686
- 17 OctDRangers Scotland Premiership1679
- 10 OctWFalkirk Scotland Premiership1662
Heart Of Midlothian
4th in Premiership · 20 pts from 12
- 8 NovLFalkirk Scotland Premiership1759
- 5 NovLFC Thun UEFA Conference League1795
- 28 OctDRangers Scotland Premiership1773
- 25 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1741
- 22 OctLTrabzonspor UEFA Conference League1719
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 17 /12 | 43.2 | 0% | 25% | 9% | 5th |
| Heart Of Midlothian | 20 /12 | 49.8 | <1% | 72% | 1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dundee: direct (how Steven Pressley plays) · Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays)