Premiership · Regular Season - 13
Dundee Utd vs Motherwell
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Tannadice Park, Dundee
Dundee Utd host Motherwell on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dundee Utd 41%, draw 29%, Motherwell 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dundee Utd €534K, Motherwell €652K.
- Home advantage makes Dundee Utd the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premiership): Dundee Utd rank #2 of 12, Motherwell #9.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dundee Utd goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Dundee Utd 1678 · Motherwell 1710
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dundee Utd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1708
Motherwell · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1714
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dundee Utd
6th in Premiership · 12 pts from 9
- 17 OctDST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1686
- 10 OctWHibernian Scotland Premiership1668
- 19 SepWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1628
- 5 SepDFalkirk Scotland Premiership1613
- 2 SepLMotherwell Scotland Premiership1640
Motherwell
10th in Premiership · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1706
- 11 OctLCeltic Scotland Premiership1698
- 19 SepLDundee Scotland Premiership1741
- 15 SepLAberdeen Scotland Premiership1741
- 5 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership1773
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 12 /9 | 41.3 | 0% | 16% | 18% | 6th |
| Motherwell | 8 /9 | 39.9 | 0% | 13% | 25% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dundee Utd: direct (how J. Goodwin plays) · Motherwell: balanced profile (how Alfred Johansson plays)