Premiership · Regular Season - 8
Dundee Utd 1–0 Hibernian
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · CalForth Construction Arena, Dundee
Dundee UtdTeam 1654HibernianTeam 1750- Daniel Bennie 35'
We gave Dundee Utd 36% to win: they did.
- 28'Miguel Changa Chaiwa 1716 −9*Hibernian:Miguel Changa Chaiwa 1716 −9*
- Daniel Bennie 1615 +34* assist Lyall Cameron 1658 +34*35'Dundee Utd:Daniel Bennie 1615 +34* assist Lyall Cameron 1658 +34*
- Michael Forbes 1705 +6*40'Dundee Utd:Michael Forbes 1705 +6*
- 54'Rabbi Matondo 1754 −10* for Owen Elding 1641 −8*Hibernian:Rabbi Matondo 1754 −10* for Owen Elding 1641 −8*
- 54'Nathan Lowe 1785 −11* for Ante Suto 1621 −8*Hibernian:Nathan Lowe 1785 −11* for Ante Suto 1621 −8*
- 54'Martin Boyle 1742 −14* for Thibault Klidjé 1723 −9*Hibernian:Martin Boyle 1742 −14* for Thibault Klidjé 1723 −9*
- Zidane Iqbal 1797 +17*57'Dundee Utd:Zidane Iqbal 1797 +17*
- Zachary Sapsford 1683 +3* for Daniel Bennie 1615 +34*67'Dundee Utd:Zachary Sapsford 1683 +3* for Daniel Bennie 1615 +34*
- Dario Naamo 1360 +4* for Joshua James Rawlins 1776 +14*71'Dundee Utd:Dario Naamo 1360 +4* for Joshua James Rawlins 1776 +14*
- Lachlan Rose 1671 −5* for Idjessi Metsoko 1571 +10*71'Dundee Utd:Lachlan Rose 1671 −5* for Idjessi Metsoko 1571 +10*
- Neil Farrugia 1686 −6* for Lyall Cameron 1658 +34*77'Dundee Utd:Neil Farrugia 1686 −6* for Lyall Cameron 1658 +34*
- 77'Jacob Devaney 1563 −8* for Miguel Changa Chaiwa 1716 −9*Hibernian:Jacob Devaney 1563 −8* for Miguel Changa Chaiwa 1716 −9*
- abdoulaye yoro 1600 −5* for Jesse Randall 1741 +3*77'Dundee Utd:abdoulaye yoro 1600 −5* for Jesse Randall 1741 +3*
- 78'Nicky Cadden 1803 −11* for Jack Iredale 1844 −21*Hibernian:Nicky Cadden 1803 −11* for Jack Iredale 1844 −21*
- Dylan Tait 1650 +10*80'Dundee Utd:Dylan Tait 1650 +10*
- 84'Jacob Devaney 1563 −8*Hibernian:Jacob Devaney 1563 −8*
- 90+3'Martin Boyle 1742 −14*Hibernian:Martin Boyle 1742 −14*
- abdoulaye yoro 1600 −5*90+3'Dundee Utd:abdoulaye yoro 1600 −5*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 36%(Dundee Utd · draw · Hibernian)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Dundee Utd €528K, Hibernian €886K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premiership): Dundee Utd ranked #2 of 12, Hibernian #11.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dundee Utd
8th in Premiership · 8 pts from 7
- 19 SepWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1628
- 5 SepDFalkirk Scotland Premiership1613
- 2 SepLMotherwell Scotland Premiership1640
- 29 AugWKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1596
- 22 AugLDundee Scotland Premiership1614
Hibernian
10th in Premiership · 7 pts from 7
- 19 SepDAberdeen Scotland Premiership1772
- 15 SepLKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1736
- 6 SepLST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1778
- 3 SepLHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1809
- 30 AugWDundee Scotland Premiership1794
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 8 /7 | 39.1 | 0% | 10% | 29% | 8th |
| Hibernian | 7 /7 | 44.9 | 0% | 34% | 8% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dundee Utd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1699
Hibernian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1768
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dundee Utd: direct (how James Michael Goodwin plays) · Hibernian: balanced profile (how David Peter Gray plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.