Premier Division · Regular Season - 36
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Oriel Park, Dundalk
Dundalk host Shamrock Rovers on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Premier Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dundalk 26%, draw 28%, Shamrock Rovers 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dundalk €173K, Shamrock Rovers €338K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Division matchday 36: 215 points.
- Premier Division: E. McGinty is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1725).
- Style contrast in attacking (Premier Division): Dundalk rank #8 of 11, Shamrock Rovers #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dundalk goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Dundalk 1423 · Shamrock Rovers 1638
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dundalk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1462
Shamrock Rovers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.1 (Good) · Elo 1612
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dundalk
5th in Premier Division · 42 pts from 34
- 17 OctDSligo Rovers Irish Premier Division1434
- 2 OctLBohemians Irish Premier Division1408
- 18 SepLShelbourne Irish Premier Division1432
- 14 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1395
- 11 SepDWaterford Irish Premier Division1372
Shamrock Rovers
1st in Premier Division · 65 pts from 34
- 16 OctLGalway United Irish Premier Division1683
- 12 OctWBohemians Irish Premier Division1653
- 8 OctWDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1660
- 18 SepWWaterford Irish Premier Division1603
- 11 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1655
Season outlook
From the Premier Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk | 42 /34 | 43.9 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 7th |
| Shamrock Rovers | 65 /34 | 68.7 | 86% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dundalk: balanced profile (how Ciarán Kilduff plays) · Shamrock Rovers: possession-based (how Stephen Bradley plays)