Premier Division · Regular Season - 36
Drogheda United vs Galway United
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Weavers Park, Drogheda
Drogheda United host Galway United on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Premier Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Drogheda United 44%, draw 28%, Galway United 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Drogheda United €195K, Galway United €153K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Drogheda United goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Drogheda United 1462 · Galway United 1423
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Drogheda United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1515
Galway United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.1 (Good) · Elo 1481
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Drogheda United
8th in Premier Division · 37 pts from 34
- 16 OctWDerry City Irish Premier Division1455
- 8 OctLShamrock Rovers Irish Premier Division1458
- 18 SepLBohemians Irish Premier Division1470
- 14 SepWShelbourne Irish Premier Division1443
- 11 SepWSligo Rovers Irish Premier Division1425
Galway United
7th in Premier Division · 41 pts from 33
- 16 OctWShamrock Rovers Irish Premier Division1406
- 25 SepDShelbourne Irish Premier Division1405
- 18 SepLDerry City Irish Premier Division1413
- 14 SepWSligo Rovers Irish Premier Division1388
- 11 SepLBohemians Irish Premier Division1399
Season outlook
From the Premier Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United | 37 /34 | 39.8 | 0% | 0% | 90% | 8th |
| Galway United | 41 /33 | 44.3 | 0% | 3% | 9% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Drogheda United: direct (how Kevin Doherty plays) · Galway United: direct (how John Caulfield plays)