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Premier Division · Regular Season - 34

Drogheda United 2–0 Derry City

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · United Park, Drogheda

Drogheda United crestDrogheda UnitedTeam 1424
2–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Derry City crestDerry CityTeam 1570

Match story

Drogheda United · draw · Derry City

Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%

Live chances: Drogheda United 100%, draw 0%, Derry City 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Drogheda United 30%, draw 29%, Derry City 41%2' · 0–0 · Drogheda United 30%, draw 29%, Derry City 41%3' · 0–0 · Drogheda United 30%, draw 29%, Derry City 41%4' · 0–0 · Drogheda United 30%, draw 29%, Derry City 41%5' · 0–0 · Drogheda United 30%, draw 29%, Derry City 41%6' · 0–0 · Drogheda United 30%, draw 29%, Derry City 40%7' · 0–0 · Drogheda United 30%, draw 30%, Derry City 40%8' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 18%9' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 18%10' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 17%11' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 17%12' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 17%13' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 17%14' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 17%15' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 17%16' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 60%, draw 24%, Derry City 16%17' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 60%, draw 24%, Derry City 16%18' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 60%, draw 24%, Derry City 16%19' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 60%, draw 24%, Derry City 16%20' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 60%, draw 24%, Derry City 16%21' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 60%, draw 24%, Derry City 16%22' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 60%, draw 24%, Derry City 15%23' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 61%, draw 24%, Derry City 15%24' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 61%, draw 24%, Derry City 15%25' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 61%, draw 24%, Derry City 15%26' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 61%, draw 24%, Derry City 15%27' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 61%, draw 24%, Derry City 15%28' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 61%, draw 24%, Derry City 14%29' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 61%, draw 24%, Derry City 14%30' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 62%, draw 24%, Derry City 14%31' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 62%, draw 24%, Derry City 14%32' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 62%, draw 24%, Derry City 14%33' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 62%, draw 24%, Derry City 13%34' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 62%, draw 24%, Derry City 13%35' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 63%, draw 24%, Derry City 13%36' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 63%, draw 24%, Derry City 13%37' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 63%, draw 24%, Derry City 13%38' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 63%, draw 24%, Derry City 12%39' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 63%, draw 24%, Derry City 12%40' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 64%, draw 24%, Derry City 12%41' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 64%, draw 24%, Derry City 12%42' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 64%, draw 24%, Derry City 12%43' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 64%, draw 24%, Derry City 11%44' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 65%, draw 24%, Derry City 11%45' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 65%, draw 24%, Derry City 11%45+1' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 65%, draw 24%, Derry City 11%HT · 1–0 · Drogheda United 66%, draw 24%, Derry City 10%47' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 66%, draw 24%, Derry City 10%48' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 66%, draw 24%, Derry City 10%49' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 67%, draw 24%, Derry City 10%50' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 67%, draw 24%, Derry City 9%51' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 67%, draw 24%, Derry City 9%52' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 68%, draw 24%, Derry City 9%53' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 68%, draw 24%, Derry City 8%55' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 69%, draw 23%, Derry City 8%56' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 69%, draw 23%, Derry City 8%57' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 70%, draw 23%, Derry City 7%59' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 70%, draw 23%, Derry City 7%60' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 71%, draw 23%, Derry City 7%61' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 71%, draw 22%, Derry City 6%62' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 72%, draw 22%, Derry City 6%63' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 72%, draw 22%, Derry City 6%64' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 73%, draw 22%, Derry City 6%65' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 73%, draw 22%, Derry City 5%66' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 74%, draw 21%, Derry City 5%67' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 74%, draw 21%, Derry City 5%68' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 74%, draw 21%, Derry City 5%69' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 75%, draw 21%, Derry City 4%70' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 76%, draw 20%, Derry City 4%71' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 76%, draw 20%, Derry City 4%72' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 77%, draw 20%, Derry City 4%73' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 77%, draw 19%, Derry City 4%74' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 78%, draw 19%, Derry City 3%75' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 78%, draw 18%, Derry City 3%76' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 79%, draw 18%, Derry City 3%77' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 80%, draw 18%, Derry City 3%78' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 80%, draw 17%, Derry City 2%79' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 81%, draw 17%, Derry City 2%80' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 82%, draw 16%, Derry City 2%81' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 83%, draw 15%, Derry City 2%82' · 1–0 · Drogheda United 83%, draw 15%, Derry City 2%83' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 99%, draw 1%, Derry City 0%84' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 99%, draw 1%, Derry City 0%85' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 99%, draw 1%, Derry City 0%86' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 99%, draw 1%, Derry City 0%87' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 99%, draw 1%, Derry City 0%88' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 99%, draw 1%, Derry City 0%89' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 100%, draw 0%, Derry City 0%90' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 100%, draw 0%, Derry City 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 100%, draw 0%, Derry City 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 100%, draw 0%, Derry City 0%90+4' · 2–0 · Drogheda United 100%, draw 0%, Derry City 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Derry City 41% to win: Drogheda United won.

  1. 7'Drogheda United:Brandon Kavanagh 1522 +32
  2. 23'Derry City:nick twisk 1714 −19*
  3. 62'Drogheda United:Edwin Agbaje 1498 +16
  4. 62'Drogheda United:Thomas Oluwa 1378 +21
  5. 63'Derry City:Darragh Burns 1764 −12* for Kévin Santos 1586 −8*
  6. 63'Derry City:James Clarke 1620 −8* for Tyler·Smith 1556 −8*
  7. 69'Drogheda United:Mark Doyle 1425 +13 for Thomas Oluwa 1378 +21
  8. 69'Drogheda United:Alfie Bates 1328 +6* for Brandon Kavanagh 1522 +32
  9. 75'Derry City:Gavin Whyte 1570 −10* for Conor Barry 1343 −8*
  10. 77'Drogheda United:Jago Godden 1284 +5 for Shane Farrell 1463 +16
  11. 79'Derry City:Jamie Stott 1579 −9*
  12. 83'Drogheda United:Mark Doyle 1425 +13
  13. 87'Drogheda United:Keegan Ancelin 1238 −6* for Warren Davis 1546 +35
  14. 90+2'Drogheda United:Jago Godden 1284 +5

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-5-2Formations4-3-3
GFynn Michael Cordell Talley1397+85
DLeo Burney1416+78
DC. Keeley1515+45
DA. Quinn1539+39
ME. Agbaje1498+16
MS. Farrell1463+16
MB. Kavanagh1522+32
MEthan O'Brien1545+12
MC. Kane1499+15
FT. Oluwa1378+21
FW. Davis1546+35
CK. Doherty1508+31
GTom Norcott1449−8*
DC. Dummigan1563−10*
DJ. Stott1579−9*
DPatrick McClean1584−9*
DB. Fleming1656−13*
MC. Barr1343−8*
MN. Twisk1714−19*
ME. Chapman1520−8*
FKévin Santos1586−8*
FT. Smith1556−8*
FM. Duffy1591−12*
CMark Connolly1450−8*
Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%(Drogheda United · draw · Derry City)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Drogheda United €165K, Derry City €254K.
  • Premier Division: D. Burns was the highest-rated midfielder (1777).
  • Style contrast in possession (Premier Division): Drogheda United ranked #11 of 11, Derry City #3.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Drogheda United

9th in Premier Division · 34 pts from 33

  • 8 OctLShamrock Rovers 1458
  • 18 SepLBohemians 1470
  • 14 SepWShelbourne 1443
  • 11 SepWSligo Rovers 1425
  • 28 AugLDundalk 1435

Derry City

5th in Premier Division · 41 pts from 32

  • 18 SepWGalway United 1608
  • 14 SepDWaterford 1605
  • 11 SepWShelbourne 1590
  • 30 AugDShamrock Rovers 1568
  • 21 AugLBohemians 1578

Season outlook

From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Drogheda United34 /3337.70%0%93%9th
Derry City41 /3247.90%65%0%4th
Drogheda United
Derry City

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Farrell
S. Farrell

Drogheda United · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1447

M. Duffy
M. Duffy

Derry City · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1602

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Kevin Doherty

Coach DNA: direct

Mark Connolly

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Drogheda United: direct (how Kevin Doherty plays) · Derry City: balanced profile (how Mark Connolly plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.