Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17
Dordrecht vs Vitesse
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
Dordrecht host Vitesse on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dordrecht 34%, draw 29%, Vitesse 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dordrecht €309K, Vitesse €374K.
- Only 2 of Dordrecht's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dordrecht goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- 2–27%
- 0–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Dordrecht 1534 · Vitesse 1618
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dordrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1663
Vitesse · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1720
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dordrecht
18th in Eerste Divisie · 12 pts from 14
- 6 NovDNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1491
- 2 NovLJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1531
- 28 OctLSC Genemuiden Netherlands KNVB Beker1501
- 24 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1527
- 9 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1531
Vitesse
10th in Eerste Divisie · 18 pts from 13
- 2 NovDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1631
- 28 OctWVVV Venlo Netherlands KNVB Beker1583
- 23 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1624
- 16 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1577
- 9 OctLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1583
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 12 /14 | 40.3 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 19th |
| Vitesse | 18 /13 | 51.2 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dordrecht: balanced profile (how Paul Nuijten plays) · Vitesse: balanced profile (how Rüdiger Rehm plays)