League One · Regular Season - 12
Doncaster vs Stockport County
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Keepmoat Stadium, Doncaster
Doncaster host Stockport County on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Doncaster 36%, draw 29%, Stockport County 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Doncaster €438K, Stockport County €659K.
- Home advantage makes Doncaster the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- Stockport County's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Doncaster goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Doncaster 1731 · Stockport County 1818
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Doncaster · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1760
Stockport County · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.5 (Elite) · Elo 1894
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Doncaster
17th in League One · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctLLeicester England League One1742
- 10 OctWBurton Albion England League One1723
- 6 OctWLiverpool U21 England EFL Trophy1714
- 19 SepWPeterborough England League One1706
- 12 SepLAFC Wimbledon England League One1713
Stockport County
2nd in League One · 19 pts from 10
- 17 OctWBromley England League One1812
- 10 OctWBarnsley England League One1824
- 26 SepWPeterborough England League One1825
- 19 SepDSheffield Wednesday England League One1798
- 12 SepLLeicester England League One1816
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 9 /9 | 53.7 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 21st |
| Stockport County | 19 /10 | 70.6 | 8% | 36% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Doncaster: balanced profile (how Grant Samuel McCann plays) · Stockport County: balanced profile (how Jimmy McNulty plays)