League One · Regular Season - 15
Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Doncaster host Leyton Orient on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Doncaster 38%, draw 29%, Leyton Orient 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Doncaster €394K, Leyton Orient €573K.
- Home advantage makes Doncaster the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Doncaster goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Doncaster 1727 · Leyton Orient 1788
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Doncaster · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1739
Leyton Orient · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1891
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Doncaster
18th in League One · 12 pts from 12
- 27 OctLLuton England League One1731
- 24 OctWSheffield Wednesday England League One1708
- 20 OctLStockport County England League One1737
- 17 OctLLeicester England League One1742
- 10 OctWBurton Albion England League One1723
Leyton Orient
16th in League One · 14 pts from 12
- 24 OctLBurton Albion England League One1816
- 21 OctLReading England League One1816
- 17 OctWBlackpool England League One1821
- 10 OctDBradford England League One1801
- 3 OctLPlymouth England League One1780
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 12 /12 | 52.8 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 19th |
| Leyton Orient | 14 /12 | 58.4 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Doncaster: balanced profile (how G. McCann plays) · Leyton Orient: balanced profile (how R. Wellens plays)