Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 27
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · 3Arena, Stockholm
Djurgardens IF host Degerfors IF on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Djurgardens IF 67%, draw 20%, Degerfors IF 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Djurgardens IF €1.0M, Degerfors IF €290K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Allsvenskan matchday 27: 316 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Allsvenskan average of 27% this round.
- Allsvenskan: J. Rinne is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1902).
- Djurgardens IF's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Djurgardens IF goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Djurgardens IF 1792 · Degerfors IF 1476
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Djurgardens IF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.8 (Elite) · Elo 1902
Degerfors IF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1486
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Djurgardens IF
2nd in Allsvenskan · 47 pts from 24
- 16 OctWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1742
- 11 OctWHammarby FF Allsvenskan1822
- 20 SepLIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1834
- 14 SepWGais Allsvenskan1822
- 7 SepWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1784
Degerfors IF
13th in Allsvenskan · 20 pts from 23
- 10 OctDMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1456
- 20 SepLHammarby FF Allsvenskan1447
- 14 SepLSirius Allsvenskan1481
- 5 SepWHalmstad Allsvenskan1471
- 29 AugLIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1507
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF | 47 /24 | 57.9 | 10% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| Degerfors IF | 20 /23 | 27.6 | 0% | 0% | 52% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Djurgardens IF: balanced profile (how Jani Honkavaara plays) · Degerfors IF: direct (how Henok Goitom plays)