HNL · Regular Season - 11
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) has been postponed.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dinamo Zagreb €3.8M, HNK Rijeka €1.3M.
- HNL: D. Kotarski is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2054).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dinamo Zagreb goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Dinamo Zagreb 2020 · HNK Rijeka 1825
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dinamo Zagreb · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2075
HNK Rijeka · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1912
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dinamo Zagreb
2nd in HNL · 19 pts from 9
- 18 OctWNK Slaven Belupo HNL1991
- 15 OctWAnderlecht UEFA Europa League2039
- 10 OctLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1915
- 20 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1956
- 16 SepDHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Europa League2002
HNK Rijeka
5th in HNL · 17 pts from 9
- 16 OctWRudes HNL1826
- 11 OctLNK Slaven Belupo HNL1841
- 20 SepWHNK Hajduk Split HNL1819
- 12 SepDNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1821
- 5 SepWNK Osijek HNL1802
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 19 /9 | 78.9 | 88% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| HNK Rijeka | 17 /9 | 64.1 | 5% | 96% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dinamo Zagreb: creative · possession-based (how Mario Kovačević plays) · HNK Rijeka: balanced profile (how Matjaž Kek plays)