Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 33
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi host Torpedo Kutaisi on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Erovnuli Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dinamo Tbilisi 41%, draw 29%, Torpedo Kutaisi 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dinamo Tbilisi €208K, Torpedo Kutaisi €252K.
- Home advantage makes Dinamo Tbilisi the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dinamo Tbilisi goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Dinamo Tbilisi 1525 · Torpedo Kutaisi 1528
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dinamo Tbilisi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1583
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dinamo Tbilisi
3rd in Erovnuli Liga · 55 pts from 31
- 31 OctDFC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga1581
- 23 OctWRustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1501
- 18 OctWSpaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga1499
- 11 OctLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1514
- 19 SepWSamgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga1483
Torpedo Kutaisi
5th in Erovnuli Liga · 40 pts from 31
- 2 NovWDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1484
- 26 OctLFC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga1532
- 18 OctLRustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1546
- 10 OctDSpaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga1525
- 20 SepLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1543
Season outlook
From the Erovnuli Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 55 /31 | 63.5 | 11% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 40 /31 | 47.8 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct