Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 29
Dinamo Tbilisi 3–1 Spaeri
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Dinamo TbilisiTeam 1500
SpaeriTeam 1292- Nika Ninua 20'
- Marios Pourzitidis 69'
- Mate Vatsadze 80'
- Zurab Golubiani 64'
We gave Dinamo Tbilisi 59% to win: they did.
- Nika Ninua – assist Marios Pourzitidis –20'
Dinamo Tbilisi:Nika Ninua – assist Marios Pourzitidis – - 46'Zurab Golubiani – for Temuri tsalughelashvili –
Spaeri:Zurab Golubiani – for Temuri tsalughelashvili – - Mate Vatsadze – for Khalid doltmurziev –57'
Dinamo Tbilisi:Mate Vatsadze – for Khalid doltmurziev – - Lyes Houri – for Maxime teixeira –57'
Dinamo Tbilisi:Lyes Houri – for Maxime teixeira – - 64'Zurab Golubiani – assist Tornike Askurava –
Spaeri:Zurab Golubiani – assist Tornike Askurava – - tornike kvaratskhelia – for Giorgi Kharaishvili –65'
Dinamo Tbilisi:tornike kvaratskhelia – for Giorgi Kharaishvili – - Paris Psaltis – for santos leo –65'
Dinamo Tbilisi:Paris Psaltis – for santos leo – - Marios Pourzitidis – assist Welton Júnior –69'
Dinamo Tbilisi:Marios Pourzitidis – assist Welton Júnior – - Barnes Osei – for Jaba Kankava –72'
Dinamo Tbilisi:Barnes Osei – for Jaba Kankava – - 74'Nikoloz Chomakhidze – for bukhuti putkaradze –
Spaeri:Nikoloz Chomakhidze – for bukhuti putkaradze – - 74'Billy Jibril – for Saba gegiadze –
Spaeri:Billy Jibril – for Saba gegiadze – - 74'Sienda Matenjva – for nika chagunava –
Spaeri:Sienda Matenjva – for nika chagunava – - Mate Vatsadze –80'
Dinamo Tbilisi:Mate Vatsadze – - 81'd giorgi tsetskhladze – for Lasha Kokhreidze –
Spaeri:d giorgi tsetskhladze – for Lasha Kokhreidze –
Before kick-off (provisional): 59% · 24% · 18%(Dinamo Tbilisi · draw · Spaeri)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–1 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dinamo Tbilisi €239K, Spaeri €168K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dinamo Tbilisi
4th in Erovnuli Liga · 48 pts from 28
- 11 OctLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1514
- 19 SepWSamgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga1483
- 14 SepWGagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga1455
- 10 SepDMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1466
- 6 SepDTorpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1468
Spaeri
9th in Erovnuli Liga · 26 pts from 28
- 10 OctDTorpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1299
- 9 SepDRustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1275
- 5 SepDMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1334
- 29 MayLRustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1333
- 25 MayWMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1352
Season outlook
From the Erovnuli Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 48 /28 | 61.1 | 12% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
| Spaeri | 26 /28 | 34.7 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Dinamo Tbilisi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1548
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –