Super League · Regular Season - 25
Dinamo Samarqand vs Andijan
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:15 UTC · Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand
Dinamo Samarqand host Andijan on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dinamo Samarqand 37%, draw 29%, Andijan 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dinamo Samarqand €206K, Andijan €257K.
- Home advantage makes Dinamo Samarqand the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- A. Hojimirzaev, M. Dembélé, J. Abdusalomov, K. Sarfo and A. Amonov (Dinamo Samarqand) have not played for over 90 days.
- E. Atkhamov and U. Ismonaliev (Andijan) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dinamo Samarqand goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Dinamo Samarqand 1421 · Andijan 1476
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Andijan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1508
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dinamo Samarqand
10th in Super League · 30 pts from 24
- 7 AugLLokomotiv Uzbekistan Super League1390
- 28 AprLAndijan Uzbekistan Super League1389
- 23 AprDOlmaliq Uzbekistan Super League1386
- 18 AprLPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1406
- 12 AprLLokomotiv Uzbekistan Super League1434
Andijan
9th in Super League · 30 pts from 24
- 1 AugDPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1476
- 28 AprWDinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Super League1469
- 24 AprWBunyodkor Uzbekistan Super League1396
- 19 AprDKokand-1912 Uzbekistan Super League1414
- 12 AprLOlmaliq Uzbekistan Super League1474
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Samarqand | 30 /24 | 38.6 | 0% | <1% | 1% | 8th |
| Andijan | 30 /24 | 38.5 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.