Premier League · Regular Season - 16
Dinamo Minsk 3–1 Slavia Mozyr
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Dinamo Stadium, Minsk
Dinamo MinskTeam 1541
Slavia MozyrTeam 1382- Evgeni Malashevich 53'
- karen vardanyan 65'
- Vladislav Poloz 78'
- Kirill Chernook 90+3'
We gave Dinamo Minsk 55% to win: they did.
- Aleksey Ivanov –39'
Dinamo Minsk:Aleksey Ivanov – - 48'Aleksandr Dzhigero –
Slavia Mozyr:Aleksandr Dzhigero – - Evgeni Malashevich – assist Artem Sokolovskiy –53'
Dinamo Minsk:Evgeni Malashevich – assist Artem Sokolovskiy – - karen vardanyan – assist Moustapha Djimet –65'
Dinamo Minsk:karen vardanyan – assist Moustapha Djimet – - 66'Aleksandr Batichev – for Evgeni Shevchenko –
Slavia Mozyr:Aleksandr Batichev – for Evgeni Shevchenko – - 67'Ricky Stephane Ngatchou Kamtchouang – for Aleksey Antilevski –
Slavia Mozyr:Ricky Stephane Ngatchou Kamtchouang – for Aleksey Antilevski – - Vladislav Poloz – for Fawaz·Abdullahi –68'
Dinamo Minsk:Vladislav Poloz – for Fawaz·Abdullahi – - Leonard Chatelin·Gweth – for karen vardanyan –68'
Dinamo Minsk:Leonard Chatelin·Gweth – for karen vardanyan – - 68'Terentiy Lutsevich – for Nikita Romanov –
Slavia Mozyr:Terentiy Lutsevich – for Nikita Romanov – - Aleksandr Selyava –69'
Dinamo Minsk:Aleksandr Selyava – - Vladislav Poloz –78'
Dinamo Minsk:Vladislav Poloz – - 79'Ilya Verenich – for Aleksandr Derzhinskiy –
Slavia Mozyr:Ilya Verenich – for Aleksandr Derzhinskiy – - Aleksey Zhechko – for Evgeni Malashevich –79'
Dinamo Minsk:Aleksey Zhechko – for Evgeni Malashevich – - 79'Dimitri Yashin – for Aleksandr Dzhigero –
Slavia Mozyr:Dimitri Yashin – for Aleksandr Dzhigero – - Roman Begunov – for Aleksey Ivanov –82'
Dinamo Minsk:Roman Begunov – for Aleksey Ivanov – - Gulzhigit Alykulov – for Moustapha Djimet –82'
Dinamo Minsk:Gulzhigit Alykulov – for Moustapha Djimet – - 87'Kirill Chernook –
Slavia Mozyr:Kirill Chernook – - 90+3'Kirill Chernook –
Slavia Mozyr:Kirill Chernook – - Leonard Chatelin·Gweth –90+6'
Dinamo Minsk:Leonard Chatelin·Gweth –
Before kick-off (provisional): 55% · 25% · 20%(Dinamo Minsk · draw · Slavia Mozyr)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–1 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dinamo Minsk €282K, Slavia Mozyr €186K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dinamo Minsk
3rd in Premier League · 46 pts from 22
- 11 OctWFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1487
- 19 SepWBate Borisov Belarus Premier League1532
- 13 SepLDinamo Brest Belarus Premier League1524
- 6 SepDML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1527
- 2 SepWNaftan Belarus Premier League1523
Slavia Mozyr
10th in Premier League · 25 pts from 23
- 10 OctLBate Borisov Belarus Premier League1401
- 19 SepLNaftan Belarus Premier League1384
- 11 SepLFC Minsk Belarus Premier League1409
- 4 SepWFC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1388
- 29 AugLNeman Belarus Premier League1399
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk | 46 /22 | 58.4 | 25% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
| Slavia Mozyr | 25 /23 | 33.7 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Dinamo Minsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1556
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –