Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Rostov
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 12:15 UTC · Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
Dinamo Makhachkala host FC Rostov on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dinamo Makhachkala 33%, draw 29%, FC Rostov 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dinamo Makhachkala €622K, FC Rostov €1.3M.
- Dinamo Makhachkala's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dinamo Makhachkala goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Dinamo Makhachkala 1573 · FC Rostov 1718
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dinamo Makhachkala · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Average) · Elo 1617
FC Rostov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1802
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dinamo Makhachkala
6th in Premier Liga · 13 pts from 11
- 17 OctDAkron Russia Premier League1567
- 10 OctLFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1593
- 17 SepLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1604
- 13 SepLAkhmat Russia Premier League1597
- 6 SepWRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1594
FC Rostov
10th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 11
- 18 OctDBaltika Russia Premier League1729
- 9 OctWAkron Russia Premier League1712
- 17 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League1737
- 13 SepLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1680
- 5 SepWFakel Russia Premier League1719
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 /11 | 29.9 | 0% | 0% | 42% | 14th |
| FC Rostov | 12 /11 | 35.3 | 0% | <1% | 10% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dinamo Makhachkala: direct · high-pressing (how Vadim Evseev plays) · FC Rostov: balanced profile (how Dmitri Kirichenko plays)