Liga I · Regular Season - 16
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Dinamo Bucuresti host Petrolul Ploiesti on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dinamo Bucuresti 54%, draw 25%, Petrolul Ploiesti 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dinamo Bucuresti €768K, Petrolul Ploiesti €296K.
- Dinamo Bucuresti's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dinamo Bucuresti goals first.
- 1–013%
- 1–112%
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Dinamo Bucuresti 1699 · Petrolul Ploiesti 1519
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dinamo Bucuresti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1778
Petrolul Ploiesti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1598
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dinamo Bucuresti
2nd in Liga I · 33 pts from 15
- 6 NovLArges Pitesti Liga I1745
- 1 NovWUta Arad Liga I1734
- 25 OctDCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1735
- 16 OctWFC Botosani Liga I1732
- 9 OctWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1724
Petrolul Ploiesti
4th in Liga I · 27 pts from 15
- 6 NovWUta Arad Liga I1524
- 31 OctDCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1528
- 23 OctWFC Botosani Liga I1489
- 17 OctDSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1549
- 11 OctLFarul Constanta Liga I1570
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 33 /15 | 58.5 | 18% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 27 /15 | 45.3 | <1% | 17% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Dinamo Bucuresti: possession-based (how Nuno Campos plays) · Petrolul Ploiesti: balanced profile (how Ricardo Sousa plays)