Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 30
Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Batumi Arena, Batumi
Dinamo Batumi host Samgurali on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Erovnuli Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dinamo Batumi 60%, draw 23%, Samgurali 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dinamo Batumi €360K, Samgurali €179K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Erovnuli Liga matchday 30: 222 points.
- Erovnuli Liga: D. Carlson is the highest-rated defender (1936).
- Dinamo Batumi are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dinamo Batumi goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Dinamo Batumi 1625 · Samgurali 1403
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dinamo Batumi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1748
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dinamo Batumi
1st in Erovnuli Liga · 53 pts from 29
- 17 OctWGagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga1639
- 11 OctWDinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1587
- 20 SepWTorpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1533
- 13 SepDDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1548
- 9 SepWFC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga1538
Samgurali
6th in Erovnuli Liga · 38 pts from 29
- 17 OctWMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1403
- 11 OctWGagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga1382
- 19 SepLDinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1365
- 14 SepLTorpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1347
- 9 SepLDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1353
Season outlook
From the Erovnuli Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi | 53 /29 | 66.4 | 66% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Samgurali | 38 /29 | 46.6 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –