Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10
Dijon vs Rodez
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Dijon host Rodez on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Dijon 29%, draw 29%, Rodez 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Dijon €226K, Rodez €644K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Dijon goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Dijon 1501 · Rodez 1659
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dijon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1693
Rodez · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1663
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Dijon
9th in Ligue 2 · 12 pts from 9
- 16 OctLReims France Ligue 21499
- 12 OctWMetz France Ligue 21433
- 18 SepWAnnecy France Ligue 21395
- 11 SepWLaval France Ligue 21310
- 4 SepDBoulogne France Ligue 21348
Rodez
17th in Ligue 2 · 7 pts from 8
- 10 OctLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21671
- 18 SepLNancy France Ligue 21633
- 11 SepLGrenoble France Ligue 21680
- 5 SepLMetz France Ligue 21673
- 28 AugDPAU France Ligue 21655
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 12 /9 | 38.7 | 0% | 1% | 26% | 14th |
| Rodez | 7 /8 | 44.0 | <1% | 6% | 8% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct