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Premier Division · Regular Season - 33

Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athl.

Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Brandywell Stadium, Delhi

Derry City crestDerry CityTeam 1558
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.Team 1658

Match story

Derry City · draw · St Patrick's Athl.

Before kick-off: 35% · 25% · 39%

Live chances: Derry City 95%, draw 5%, St Patrick's Athl. 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 25%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%2' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 25%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%4' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 25%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%5' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%6' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%8' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%10' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%11' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%12' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%14' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 27%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%15' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 27%, St Patrick's Athl. 39%16' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 27%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%17' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 27%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%19' · 0–0 · Derry City 35%, draw 27%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%20' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 27%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%21' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 28%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%22' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 28%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%23' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 28%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%24' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 28%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%26' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 28%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%27' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 29%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%28' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 29%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%29' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 29%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%30' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 29%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%31' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 29%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%32' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 30%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%33' · 0–0 · Derry City 34%, draw 30%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%34' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 30%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%35' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 30%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%36' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 30%, St Patrick's Athl. 36%37' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 31%, St Patrick's Athl. 36%38' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 31%, St Patrick's Athl. 36%39' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 31%, St Patrick's Athl. 36%40' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 31%, St Patrick's Athl. 36%41' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 32%, St Patrick's Athl. 36%42' · 0–0 · Derry City 33%, draw 32%, St Patrick's Athl. 36%43' · 0–0 · Derry City 32%, draw 32%, St Patrick's Athl. 35%44' · 0–0 · Derry City 32%, draw 32%, St Patrick's Athl. 35%45' · 0–0 · Derry City 32%, draw 33%, St Patrick's Athl. 35%45+1' · 0–0 · Derry City 32%, draw 33%, St Patrick's Athl. 35%45+2' · 0–0 · Derry City 32%, draw 33%, St Patrick's Athl. 35%HT · 0–0 · Derry City 32%, draw 34%, St Patrick's Athl. 34%47' · 0–0 · Derry City 32%, draw 34%, St Patrick's Athl. 34%48' · 0–0 · Derry City 31%, draw 35%, St Patrick's Athl. 34%49' · 0–0 · Derry City 31%, draw 35%, St Patrick's Athl. 34%50' · 0–0 · Derry City 31%, draw 35%, St Patrick's Athl. 34%51' · 0–0 · Derry City 31%, draw 36%, St Patrick's Athl. 33%52' · 0–0 · Derry City 31%, draw 36%, St Patrick's Athl. 33%53' · 0–0 · Derry City 30%, draw 37%, St Patrick's Athl. 33%54' · 0–0 · Derry City 30%, draw 37%, St Patrick's Athl. 33%55' · 0–0 · Derry City 30%, draw 38%, St Patrick's Athl. 32%56' · 0–0 · Derry City 30%, draw 38%, St Patrick's Athl. 32%57' · 0–0 · Derry City 29%, draw 39%, St Patrick's Athl. 32%58' · 0–0 · Derry City 29%, draw 40%, St Patrick's Athl. 31%59' · 0–0 · Derry City 29%, draw 40%, St Patrick's Athl. 31%60' · 0–0 · Derry City 29%, draw 41%, St Patrick's Athl. 31%61' · 0–0 · Derry City 28%, draw 41%, St Patrick's Athl. 30%62' · 0–0 · Derry City 28%, draw 42%, St Patrick's Athl. 30%63' · 1–0 · Derry City 69%, draw 23%, St Patrick's Athl. 8%64' · 1–0 · Derry City 70%, draw 23%, St Patrick's Athl. 8%65' · 1–0 · Derry City 70%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 7%66' · 1–0 · Derry City 71%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 7%67' · 1–0 · Derry City 71%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 7%68' · 1–0 · Derry City 72%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 7%69' · 1–0 · Derry City 72%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 6%70' · 1–0 · Derry City 72%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 6%71' · 1–0 · Derry City 73%, draw 21%, St Patrick's Athl. 6%72' · 1–0 · Derry City 73%, draw 21%, St Patrick's Athl. 5%73' · 1–0 · Derry City 74%, draw 21%, St Patrick's Athl. 5%74' · 1–0 · Derry City 75%, draw 21%, St Patrick's Athl. 5%75' · 1–0 · Derry City 75%, draw 20%, St Patrick's Athl. 5%76' · 1–0 · Derry City 76%, draw 20%, St Patrick's Athl. 4%77' · 1–0 · Derry City 76%, draw 20%, St Patrick's Athl. 4%78' · 1–0 · Derry City 77%, draw 19%, St Patrick's Athl. 4%79' · 1–0 · Derry City 78%, draw 19%, St Patrick's Athl. 3%80' · 1–0 · Derry City 79%, draw 18%, St Patrick's Athl. 3%81' · 1–0 · Derry City 79%, draw 18%, St Patrick's Athl. 3%82' · 1–0 · Derry City 80%, draw 17%, St Patrick's Athl. 3%84' · 1–0 · Derry City 82%, draw 16%, St Patrick's Athl. 2%85' · 1–0 · Derry City 83%, draw 15%, St Patrick's Athl. 2%86' · 1–0 · Derry City 84%, draw 14%, St Patrick's Athl. 2%87' · 1–0 · Derry City 85%, draw 14%, St Patrick's Athl. 1%88' · 1–0 · Derry City 86%, draw 13%, St Patrick's Athl. 1%90' · 1–0 · Derry City 89%, draw 10%, St Patrick's Athl. 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Derry City 90%, draw 9%, St Patrick's Athl. 1%90+3' · 1–0 · Derry City 93%, draw 6%, St Patrick's Athl. 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Derry City 95%, draw 5%, St Patrick's Athl. 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 95% · 5% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave St Patrick's Athl. 39% to win: Derry City won.

  1. 21'Derry City:Darragh Burns 1764
  2. 45'Derry City:Conor Barry 1343 for Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 1498
  3. 53'St Patrick's Athl.:Anthony Olusanya 1600
  4. 57'St Patrick's Athl.:Ryan Edmondson 1625 for Aidan Keena 1635
  5. 57'St Patrick's Athl.:Jason McClelland 1560 for Anto Breslin 1612
  6. 62'Derry City:Kévin Santos 1586 assist Darragh Burns 1764
  7. 63'St Patrick's Athl.:Christopher Forrester 1491 for Kian Leavy 1583
  8. 64'St Patrick's Athl.:Ryan Sheridan 1483 for Barry Baggley 1593
  9. 70'Derry City:James Clarke 1620
  10. 72'Derry City:Darragh Markey 1500 for Kévin Santos 1586
  11. 75'St Patrick's Athl.:Romal Palmer 1614 for Luke·Turner 1641
  12. 80'Derry City:Cameron Dummigan 1563 for nick twisk 1714
  13. 80'St Patrick's Athl.:Christopher Forrester 1491
  14. 85'Derry City:Terence Doherty 1305 for Tyler·Smith 1555

Line-ups

4-1-4-1Formations3-1-4-2
GJ. Anang1627
DJ. Redmond1642
DS. Hoare1588
DL. Turner1641
MJ. Lennon1608
MZ. Elbouzedi1591
MK. Leavy1583
MB. Baggley1593
MA. Breslin1612
FA. Olusanya1600
FA. Keena1635
CS. Kenny1625
Before kick-off: 35% · 25% · 39%(Derry City · draw · St Patrick's Athl.)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 1–0 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Derry City €322K, St Patrick's Athl. €289K.
  • Premier Division: D. Burns was the highest-rated midfielder (1764).
  • St Patrick's Athl.'s expected eleven was in form: average +2.0 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Derry City

6th in Premier Division · 41 pts from 33

  • 16 OctLDrogheda United 1576
  • 18 SepWGalway United 1608
  • 14 SepDWaterford 1605
  • 11 SepWShelbourne 1590
  • 30 AugDShamrock Rovers 1568

St Patrick's Athl.

3rd in Premier Division · 59 pts from 33

  • 16 OctLShelbourne 1630
  • 19 SepWSligo Rovers 1613
  • 14 SepWDundalk 1587
  • 11 SepWShamrock Rovers 1572
  • 28 AugLWaterford 1603

Season outlook

From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Derry City41 /3346.20%23%1%5th
St Patrick's Athl.59 /3363.45%100%0%3rd
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Patrick McClean
Patrick McClean

Derry City · +1.5 (Average) · Elo 1584

J. Lennon
J. Lennon

St Patrick's Athl. · +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1608

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mark Connolly

Coach DNA: –

Stephen Kenny

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Derry City: balanced profile (how Mark Connolly plays) · St Patrick's Athl.: balanced profile (how Stephen Kenny plays)