Primera División · Clausura - Quadrangular - 6
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Deportivo Tachira FC host Caracas FC on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportivo Tachira FC 51%, draw 27%, Caracas FC 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportivo Tachira FC €268K, Caracas FC €244K.
- Deportivo Tachira FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportivo Tachira FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Deportivo Tachira FC 1492 · Caracas FC 1376
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Caracas FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1388
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Tachira FC
2nd in Primera División · 51 pts from 26
- 3 NovWPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1406
- 31 OctWPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1413
- 27 OctWMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1455
- 24 OctWCaracas FC Venezuela Primera Division1460
- 17 OctDCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1306
Caracas FC
9th in Primera División · 32 pts from 26
- 7 NovLPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1401
- 3 NovWMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1353
- 31 OctLMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1381
- 27 OctWPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1355
- 24 OctLDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1352
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 51 /26 | 52.8 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Caracas FC | 32 /26 | 33.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct · low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportivo Tachira FC: low-volume (how Á. Recoba plays) · Caracas FC: balanced profile (how N. Sanvicente plays)