Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 17
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Deportivo Recoleta host Sportivo Ameliano on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportivo Recoleta 39%, draw 29%, Sportivo Ameliano 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportivo Recoleta €253K, Sportivo Ameliano €265K.
- Home advantage makes Deportivo Recoleta the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Division Profesional - Clausura): Deportivo Recoleta rank #2 of 12, Sportivo Ameliano #12.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportivo Recoleta goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Deportivo Recoleta 1401 · Sportivo Ameliano 1463
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportivo Recoleta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1482
Sportivo Ameliano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1496
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Recoleta
11th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 11 pts from 15
- 16 OctWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1379
- 12 OctLNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1395
- 5 OctLLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1398
- 28 SepDClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1373
- 20 SepLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1383
Sportivo Ameliano
8th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 19 pts from 15
- 18 OctDCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1417
- 12 OctL2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1472
- 6 OctLRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1453
- 25 SepDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1439
- 19 SepDLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1452
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta | 11 /15 | 17.9 | 0% | 0% | 91% | 11th |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 19 /15 | 27.8 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportivo Recoleta: balanced profile (how J. González plays) · Sportivo Ameliano: balanced profile (how Roberto Nanni plays)