Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 15
Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Rubio NU
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 22:20 UTC · Estadio Roque F. Batelhana, Asuncion
Deportivo RecoletaTeam 1391Rubio NUTeam 1381- Renzo José Martino Campuzano 67'
We gave Deportivo Recoleta 44% to win: they did.
- Kevin Daniel Parzajuk Rodríguez –27'Deportivo Recoleta:Kevin Daniel Parzajuk Rodríguez –
- Claudio Garay –30'Deportivo Recoleta:Claudio Garay –
- Marcos Antonio Pereira Esteche – for lucas monzon –45'Deportivo Recoleta:Marcos Antonio Pereira Esteche – for lucas monzon –
- Marcelo Medina – for Facundo Ariel Echeguren Zarza –45'Deportivo Recoleta:Marcelo Medina – for Facundo Ariel Echeguren Zarza –
- Wilfrido Baez – for Kevin Daniel Parzajuk Rodríguez –45'Deportivo Recoleta:Wilfrido Baez – for Kevin Daniel Parzajuk Rodríguez –
- Alejandro Silva – for Claudio Garay –63'Deportivo Recoleta:Alejandro Silva – for Claudio Garay –
- 66'Carlos Giménez – for Lucas Daniel Montiel Rodríguez –Rubio NU:Carlos Giménez – for Lucas Daniel Montiel Rodríguez –
- 66'Rodrigo Rojas – for Octavio Alfonso –Rubio NU:Rodrigo Rojas – for Octavio Alfonso –
- Renzo José Martino Campuzano assist Wilfrido Baez –67'Deportivo Recoleta:Renzo José Martino Campuzano assist Wilfrido Baez –
- 70'Maximiliano Garrone –Rubio NU:Maximiliano Garrone –
- 72'E. Alfonso – for Sergio Fretes –Rubio NU:E. Alfonso – for Sergio Fretes –
- 72'A. Páez – for Tobías Leiva –Rubio NU:A. Páez – for Tobías Leiva –
- 73'Steven·Perez – for Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz –Rubio NU:Steven·Perez – for Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz –
- 82'Cristian Nunez –Rubio NU:Cristian Nunez –
- Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán – for José Espínola –87'Deportivo Recoleta:Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán – for José Espínola –
- Renzo José Martino Campuzano90+4'Deportivo Recoleta:Renzo José Martino Campuzano
Before kick-off (provisional): 44% · 28% · 27%(Deportivo Recoleta · draw · Rubio NU)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportivo Recoleta €241K, Rubio NU €202K.
- Deportivo Recoleta's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Recoleta
11th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 8 pts from 14
- 12 OctLNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1395
- 5 OctLLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1398
- 28 SepDClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1373
- 20 SepLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1383
- 12 SepLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1409
Rubio NU
10th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 13 pts from 14
- 11 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1375
- 6 OctWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1342
- 26 SepD2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1306
- 19 SepLCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1309
- 13 SepLNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1343
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta | 8 /14 | 16.6 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 11th |
| Rubio NU | 13 /14 | 21.3 | 0% | 0% | 58% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportivo Recoleta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1469
Rubio NU · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1461
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct