Primera A · Clausura - 5
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal
Deportivo Pereira host Jaguares on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportivo Pereira 47%, draw 28%, Jaguares 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportivo Pereira €193K, Jaguares €152K.
- Deportivo Pereira's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportivo Pereira goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Deportivo Pereira 1452 · Jaguares 1449
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportivo Pereira · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1517
Jaguares · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1582
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Pereira
20th in Primera A · 10 pts from 19
- 14 OctDJunior Colombia Primera A1415
- 10 OctDDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1410
- 4 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1459
- 29 SepLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1442
- 26 SepDInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1465
Jaguares
16th in Primera A · 18 pts from 19
- 17 OctLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1451
- 11 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1415
- 3 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1443
- 27 SepLAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1422
- 22 SepLIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1424
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 10 /19 | 16.4 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 20th |
| Jaguares | 18 /19 | 23.1 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportivo Pereira: balanced profile (how José Aléxis Márquez Restrepo plays) · Jaguares: balanced profile (how Hubert Antonio Bodhert Barrios plays)