Primera A · Clausura - 17
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal
Deportivo Pereira host Deportes Tolima on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportivo Pereira 25%, draw 27%, Deportes Tolima 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportivo Pereira €193K, Deportes Tolima €732K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera A Clausura - 17: 294 points.
- Style contrast in discipline (Primera A): Deportivo Pereira rank #21 of 22, Deportes Tolima #2.
- Deportivo Pereira's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportivo Pereira goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Deportivo Pereira 1452 · Deportes Tolima 1746
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportivo Pereira · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1517
Deportes Tolima · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.7 (Good) · Elo 1821
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Pereira
20th in Primera A · 10 pts from 19
- 14 OctDJunior Colombia Primera A1415
- 10 OctDDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1410
- 4 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1459
- 29 SepLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1442
- 26 SepDInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1465
Deportes Tolima
6th in Primera A · 31 pts from 19
- 18 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1779
- 11 OctLJaguares Colombia Primera A1763
- 8 OctDAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1760
- 3 OctDChico Colombia Primera A1746
- 27 SepDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1747
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 10 /19 | 16.4 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 20th |
| Deportes Tolima | 31 /19 | 37.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportivo Pereira: balanced profile (how José Aléxis Márquez Restrepo plays) · Deportes Tolima: possession-based (how Luis Fernando Suárez Guzman plays)