Primera A · Clausura - 15
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, Pereira
Deportivo Pereira host Chico on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportivo Pereira 43%, draw 28%, Chico 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportivo Pereira €193K, Chico €226K.
- Home advantage makes Deportivo Pereira the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Primera A): Deportivo Pereira rank #21 of 22, Chico #4.
- Deportivo Pereira's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
- Chico's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportivo Pereira goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Deportivo Pereira 1452 · Chico 1500
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportivo Pereira · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1517
Chico · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1555
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Pereira
20th in Primera A · 10 pts from 19
- 14 OctDJunior Colombia Primera A1415
- 10 OctDDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1410
- 4 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1459
- 29 SepLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1442
- 26 SepDInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1465
Chico
18th in Primera A · 17 pts from 19
- 17 OctLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1515
- 11 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1526
- 3 OctDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1522
- 25 SepWDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1465
- 19 SepLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1448
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 10 /19 | 16.4 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 20th |
| Chico | 17 /19 | 23.5 | 0% | 0% | 49% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportivo Pereira: balanced profile (how José Aléxis Márquez Restrepo plays) · Chico: balanced profile (how Jhon Jaime Gómez plays)