Primera A · Clausura - 15
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 01:05 UTC · Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Deportivo PastoTeam 1532Alianza ValleduparTeam 1450Live chances
Deportivo Pasto · draw · Alianza ValleduparBefore kick-off: 54% · 26% · 21%
Now, 90+1': 1% · 11% · 88%
Most likely final score (live)
- 0–1 81%
- 1–1 11%
- 0–2 6%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- 82'D. Quinones 1567 for J. Munoz 1544Alianza Valledupar:D. Quinones 1567 for J. Munoz 1544
- J. Quinones 1494 for J. Perlaza 149386'Deportivo Pasto:J. Quinones 1494 for J. Perlaza 1493
- 90+1'Alianza Valledupar:
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (Primera A): before kick-off, on the confirmed line-ups, our model gave Deportivo Pasto 54%, draw 26%, Alianza Valledupar 21%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Deportivo Pasto €320K, Alianza Valledupar €211K.
- Alianza Valledupar's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Before kick-off: 54% · 26% · 21%(Deportivo Pasto · draw · Alianza Valledupar)
Confirmed line-ups
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Pasto
3rd in Primera A · 34 pts from 19
- 4 OctDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1594
- 25 SepLChico Colombia Primera A1623
- 20 SepWOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1551
- 15 SepWAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1512
- 5 SepDCucuta Colombia Primera A1476
Alianza Valledupar
17th in Primera A · 17 pts from 19
- 9 OctDÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1505
- 3 OctLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1524
- 27 SepWJaguares Colombia Primera A1502
- 19 SepLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1514
- 16 SepWChico Colombia Primera A1474
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto | 34 /19 | 42.4 | 1% | 69% | 0% | 2nd |
| Alianza Valledupar | 17 /19 | 22.9 | 0% | 0% | 53% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportivo Pasto · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1633
Alianza Valledupar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1516
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportivo Pasto: balanced profile (how Matías Jonathan Risueño Luján plays) · Alianza Valledupar: balanced profile (how Camilo Andrés Ayala Quintero plays)