Primera División · Clausura - 10
Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Deportivo MaldonadoTeam 1506Liverpool MontevideoTeam 1558- Juan Ramos 76'
- Diego Romero Lanz 62'
We gave Deportivo Maldonado 37% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 18'Facundo Barcelo offLiverpool Montevideo:Facundo Barcelo off
- nicolas fuica20'Deportivo Maldonado:nicolas fuica
- Santiago Ramírez30'Deportivo Maldonado:Santiago Ramírez
- 43'Santiago strasorierLiverpool Montevideo:Santiago strasorier
- Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa off46'Deportivo Maldonado:Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa off
- Cayetano Bolzán off46'Deportivo Maldonado:Cayetano Bolzán off
- Hernán Menosse48'Deportivo Maldonado:Hernán Menosse
- Diego Alexandre·Segovia Hernandez off57'Deportivo Maldonado:Diego Alexandre·Segovia Hernandez off
- 62'Diego Romero LanzLiverpool Montevideo:Diego Romero Lanz
- Camilo Mayada off69'Deportivo Maldonado:Camilo Mayada off
- 69'Ramiro Matias Degregorio offLiverpool Montevideo:Ramiro Matias Degregorio off
- Juan Ramos76'Deportivo Maldonado:Juan Ramos
- 83'Federico Martinez offLiverpool Montevideo:Federico Martinez off
- 83'Rafael Haller offLiverpool Montevideo:Rafael Haller off
- 83'Kevin Lewis offLiverpool Montevideo:Kevin Lewis off
- Santiago Ramírez off89'Deportivo Maldonado:Santiago Ramírez off
- 90+3'Santiago LaquidainLiverpool Montevideo:Santiago Laquidain
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%(Deportivo Maldonado · draw · Liverpool Montevideo)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Deportivo Maldonado €333K, Liverpool Montevideo €404K.
- Home advantage made Deportivo Maldonado the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Liverpool Montevideo were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Maldonado
2nd in Primera División - Apertura · 58 pts from 31
- 3 OctWCentral Espanol Uruguay Primera Division1534
- 27 SepWAtletico Torque Uruguay Primera Division1524
- 19 SepWCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1508
- 13 SepLDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1529
- 5 SepWWanderers Uruguay Primera Division1509
Liverpool Montevideo
7th in Primera División - Apertura · 49 pts from 31
- 3 OctWProgreso Uruguay Primera Division1519
- 6 SepWBoston River Uruguay Primera Division1584
- 30 AugDCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1574
- 16 AugWDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1543
- 25 JulWDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1517
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maldonado | 58 /31 | 60.2 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 14th |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 114 /68 | 116.5 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Liverpool Montevideo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1413
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.