Primera División · Clausura - 13
Deportivo La Guaira 1–2 Trujillanos FC
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Deportivo La GuairaTeam 1355
Trujillanos FCTeam 1084Match story
Deportivo La Guaira · draw · Trujillanos FCBefore kick-off: 63% · 22% · 14%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 4% · 96%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Juan Castellanos 14' (pen)
- Manuel Alejandro Sulbarán Solano 81' (og)
- Christian Santos 88'
We gave Deportivo La Guaira 63% to win: Trujillanos FC won.
- Juan Castellanos 1385 −10* (pen.)14'
Deportivo La Guaira:Juan Castellanos 1385 −10* (pen.) - 27'Joantony Carmona 845 for Agustin araujo 1437 +13*
Trujillanos FC:Joantony Carmona 845 for Agustin araujo 1437 +13* - 31'Ezequiel Gnemmi 1140 +74*
Trujillanos FC:Ezequiel Gnemmi 1140 +74* - Guillermo Ortíz 1410 −13*31'
Deportivo La Guaira:Guillermo Ortíz 1410 −13* - 32'Franklin González 1279 +42* (penalty missed)
Trujillanos FC:Franklin González 1279 +42* (penalty missed) - Maike Villero 1013 for Guillermo Ortíz 1410 −13*36'
Deportivo La Guaira:Maike Villero 1013 for Guillermo Ortíz 1410 −13* - Carlos Faya 1012 for Miguel Eduardo Gonzalez Acosta 1136 −8*46'
Deportivo La Guaira:Carlos Faya 1012 for Miguel Eduardo Gonzalez Acosta 1136 −8* - 66'Giordani Parra 1000 for David Linarez 1071 +91*
Trujillanos FC:Giordani Parra 1000 for David Linarez 1071 +91* - 66'Jose Mendez 900 for Abreu Enderson 1067 +92*
Trujillanos FC:Jose Mendez 900 for Abreu Enderson 1067 +92* - juan herrera 1421 for Jose Ali Meza 1272 −15*69'
Deportivo La Guaira:juan herrera 1421 for Jose Ali Meza 1272 −15* - 69'Mayker González 950 +110*
Trujillanos FC:Mayker González 950 +110* - 76'Leomar Mosquera 916 for Mayker González 950 +110*
Trujillanos FC:Leomar Mosquera 916 for Mayker González 950 +110* - 77'Carlos Gil 1000 for Franklin González 1279 +42*
Trujillanos FC:Carlos Gil 1000 for Franklin González 1279 +42* - Juan Castellanos 1385 −10*78'
Deportivo La Guaira:Juan Castellanos 1385 −10* - 81'Manuel Alejandro Sulbarán Solano 1110 −8* (own goal)
Trujillanos FC:Manuel Alejandro Sulbarán Solano 1110 −8* (own goal) - Juan Luis Perdomo 1287 for Juan Castellanos 1385 −10*83'
Deportivo La Guaira:Juan Luis Perdomo 1287 for Juan Castellanos 1385 −10* - Anthony Uribe 1362 for Flabian Londono Bedoya 1641 −25*84'
Deportivo La Guaira:Anthony Uribe 1362 for Flabian Londono Bedoya 1641 −25* - 88'Christian Santos 1217 +42* assist Kevin Gonzalez 1150 +70*
Trujillanos FC:Christian Santos 1217 +42* assist Kevin Gonzalez 1150 +70*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 14%(Deportivo La Guaira · draw · Trujillanos FC)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–2 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Deportivo La Guaira €267K, Trujillanos FC €112K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera División Clausura - 13: 304 points.
- Draw chance was 20%, below the Primera División average of 26% this round.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo La Guaira
3rd in Primera División · 44 pts from 25
- 15 SepLCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1382
- 12 SepLUCV Venezuela Primera Division1342
- 6 SepWAnzoátegui FC Venezuela Primera Division1345
- 3 SepDPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1295
- 31 MayLPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1416
Trujillanos FC
13th in Primera División · 15 pts from 25
- 16 SepLRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1175
- 13 SepWZamora FC Venezuela Primera Division1128
- 6 SepLCaracas FC Venezuela Primera Division1121
- 3 SepLMetropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1028
- 25 AprLDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1041
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | 44 /25 | 46.2 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
| Trujillanos FC | 15 /25 | 15.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Deportivo La Guaira · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1423
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.