Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 6
Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca host Orense SC on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportivo Cuenca 41%, draw 29%, Orense SC 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportivo Cuenca €319K, Orense SC €281K.
- Home advantage makes Deportivo Cuenca the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportivo Cuenca goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Deportivo Cuenca 1522 · Orense SC 1523
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportivo Cuenca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1571
Orense SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1641
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Cuenca
12th in Liga Pro · 36 pts from 30
- 16 OctWTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1492
- 11 OctDOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1519
- 20 SepDMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1512
- 13 SepDLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1525
- 7 SepLLibertad Ecuador Liga Pro1532
Orense SC
13th in Liga Pro · 33 pts from 30
- 19 OctDMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1488
- 11 OctDDeportivo Cuenca Ecuador Liga Pro1530
- 21 SepLManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1531
- 15 SepLUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1516
- 8 SepWGuayaquil City FC Ecuador Liga Pro1520
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca | 41 /33 | 51.2 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 8th |
| Orense SC | 35 /33 | 45.3 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportivo Cuenca: balanced profile (how A. Yllana plays) · Orense SC: balanced profile (how J. Buch plays)