Primera A · Clausura - 18
Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:05 UTC · Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Deportes Tolima host Millonarios on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportes Tolima 52%, draw 26%, Millonarios 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportes Tolima €749K, Millonarios €480K.
- Millonarios are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportes Tolima goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Deportes Tolima 1761 · Millonarios 1697
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportes Tolima · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.7 (Good) · Elo 1821
Millonarios · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1645
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportes Tolima
6th in Primera A · 31 pts from 19
- 18 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1779
- 11 OctLJaguares Colombia Primera A1763
- 8 OctDAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1760
- 3 OctDChico Colombia Primera A1746
- 27 SepDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1747
Millonarios
10th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 21 OctDOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1683
- 17 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1689
- 9 OctDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1693
- 30 SepDIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1670
- 25 SepDAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1698
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 31 /19 | 37.6 | 0% | 24% | 0% | 6th |
| Millonarios | 26 /19 | 30.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportes Tolima: possession-based (how L. Suárez plays) · Millonarios: balanced profile (how A. Gamero plays)