Primera División · Regular Season - 28
Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache
Deportes Limache host D. La Serena on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportes Limache 41%, draw 29%, D. La Serena 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportes Limache €301K, D. La Serena €337K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportes Limache goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–27%
- 0–07%
- 0–17%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Deportes Limache 1604 · D. La Serena 1559
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportes Limache · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1610
D. La Serena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1549
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportes Limache
4th in Primera División · 40 pts from 27
- 8 NovLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1612
- 2 NovWA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1594
- 25 OctWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1590
- 11 OctDPalestino Chile Primera Division1576
- 14 SepLUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1627
D. La Serena
9th in Primera División · 37 pts from 27
- 7 NovWPalestino Chile Primera Division1560
- 1 NovDHuachipato Chile Primera Division1550
- 24 OctWConcepción Chile Primera Division1524
- 11 OctLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1545
- 13 SepLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1572
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 40 /27 | 44.1 | 0% | 37% | 0% | 4th |
| D. La Serena | 37 /27 | 40.3 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportes Limache: balanced profile (how V. Rivero plays) · D. La Serena: dribble-heavy (how F. Bozán plays)