Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · De Vliert
Den Bosch host VVV Venlo on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Den Bosch 34%, draw 29%, VVV Venlo 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Den Bosch €325K, VVV Venlo €299K.
- Only 2 of VVV Venlo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Den Bosch are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Den Bosch goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Den Bosch 1551 · VVV Venlo 1642
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Den Bosch · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1653
VVV Venlo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1675
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Den Bosch
8th in Eerste Divisie · 18 pts from 13
- 1 NovWEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1551
- 27 OctWRijnsburgse Boys Netherlands KNVB Beker1486
- 23 OctDMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1543
- 16 OctWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1521
- 9 OctWJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1471
VVV Venlo
2nd in Eerste Divisie · 28 pts from 13
- 31 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1598
- 28 OctLVitesse Netherlands KNVB Beker1580
- 24 OctWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1568
- 16 OctDJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1559
- 9 OctWJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1531
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 18 /13 | 47.1 | 0% | 1% | 10% | 14th |
| VVV Venlo | 28 /13 | 63.2 | 8% | 50% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Den Bosch: direct (how Bart Schreuder plays) · VVV Venlo: balanced profile (how Marinus Dijkhuizen plays)