Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
Den Bosch vs MVV
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · De Vliert
Den Bosch host MVV on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Den Bosch 39%, draw 29%, MVV 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Den Bosch €306K, MVV €284K.
- Home advantage makes Den Bosch the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eerste Divisie): Den Bosch rank #17 of 20, MVV #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Den Bosch goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Den Bosch 1508 · MVV 1534
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Den Bosch · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1626
MVV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1611
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Den Bosch
12th in Eerste Divisie · 14 pts from 11
- 16 OctWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1523
- 9 OctWJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1476
- 3 OctDDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1484
- 27 SepLDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1456
- 18 SepWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1470
MVV
9th in Eerste Divisie · 16 pts from 11
- 18 OctLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1585
- 9 OctLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1557
- 3 OctLFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1565
- 26 SepWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1537
- 18 SepLWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1570
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 14 /11 | 44.2 | 0% | 1% | 28% | 16th |
| MVV | 16 /11 | 48.1 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Den Bosch: direct (how Bart Schreuder plays) · MVV: balanced profile (how Andries Jonker plays)