Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
Den Bosch 2–1 FC OSS
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadion de Vliert, 'S-Hertogenbosch
Den BoschTeam 1489
FC OSSTeam 1474Match story
Den Bosch · draw · FC OSSBefore kick-off: 46% · 22% · 32%
Last reading, 90+4': 96% · 4% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Den Bosch 46% to win: they did.
- Sheddy Barglan 1525 +45 assist Kevin Monzialo 1626 +238'
Den Bosch:Sheddy Barglan 1525 +45 assist Kevin Monzialo 1626 +23 - Sebastian Karlsson Grach 1506 +40 assist Kevin Monzialo 1626 +2313'
Den Bosch:Sebastian Karlsson Grach 1506 +40 assist Kevin Monzialo 1626 +23 - Jeffry Fortes 1433 +1153'
Den Bosch:Jeffry Fortes 1433 +11 - 57'Milo Horemans 1548 −11* for Maurilio de Lannoy 1511 −3
FC OSS:Milo Horemans 1548 −11* for Maurilio de Lannoy 1511 −3 - 57'Andy Visser 1381 0 for Franslyn Nsingi 1345 0
FC OSS:Andy Visser 1381 0 for Franslyn Nsingi 1345 0 - 58'Lars Mol 1425 0 for Richard van der Venne 1499 −9
FC OSS:Lars Mol 1425 0 for Richard van der Venne 1499 −9 - Wang Bohao 1458 +5 for Boris van Schuppen 1506 +4*67'
Den Bosch:Wang Bohao 1458 +5 for Boris van Schuppen 1506 +4* - 74'Siriné Doucouré 1459 −8* for Julian Kuijpers 1542 −6
FC OSS:Siriné Doucouré 1459 −8* for Julian Kuijpers 1542 −6 - 75'Thomas Cox 1268 −8* for Ilounga Pata 1563 −8
FC OSS:Thomas Cox 1268 −8* for Ilounga Pata 1563 −8 - Jack de Vries 1495 +3 for Sebastian Karlsson Grach 1506 +4076'
Den Bosch:Jack de Vries 1495 +3 for Sebastian Karlsson Grach 1506 +40 - Lorenzo Hoffman 1332 +4 for Ilias Boumassaoudi 1587 +976'
Den Bosch:Lorenzo Hoffman 1332 +4 for Ilias Boumassaoudi 1587 +9 - Kevin Monzialo 1626 +2383'
Den Bosch:Kevin Monzialo 1626 +23 - Tim Rafi Wolters 1263 −6* for Kevin Monzialo 1626 +2386'
Den Bosch:Tim Rafi Wolters 1263 −6* for Kevin Monzialo 1626 +23 - 89'Milo Horemans 1548 −11* assist Siriné Doucouré 1459 −8*
FC OSS:Milo Horemans 1548 −11* assist Siriné Doucouré 1459 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 46% · 22% · 32%(Den Bosch · draw · FC OSS)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (9%); the result 2–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Den Bosch €297K, FC OSS €259K.
- Home advantage made Den Bosch the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Den Bosch
14th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 10
- 9 OctWJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1476
- 3 OctDDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1484
- 27 SepLDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1456
- 18 SepWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1470
- 13 SepLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1467
FC OSS
13th in Eerste Divisie · 12 pts from 10
- 9 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1531
- 3 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1505
- 26 SepLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1506
- 18 SepWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1449
- 11 SepLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1482
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 11 /10 | 41.6 | 0% | <1% | 47% | 20th |
| FC OSS | 12 /10 | 44.0 | 0% | 1% | 32% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Den Bosch · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1417

FC OSS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1606
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Den Bosch: direct (how Bart Schreuder plays) · FC OSS: direct · low-volume (how Sjors Ultee plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.