Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 2
Delfin SC 3–2 Mushuc Runa SC
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Estadio Jocay, Manta
Delfin SCTeam 1352Mushuc Runa SCTeam 1484We gave Mushuc Runa SC 39% to win: Delfin SC won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 31% · 30% · 39%(Delfin SC · draw · Mushuc Runa SC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–2 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Delfin SC €231K, Mushuc Runa SC €323K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Liga Pro): Delfin SC ranked #1 of 16, Mushuc Runa SC #16.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Delfin SC
15th in Liga Pro · 28 pts from 30
- 20 SepDTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1399
- 13 SepDBarcelona SC Ecuador Liga Pro1394
- 6 SepLUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1384
- 28 AugLMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1421
- 23 AugLAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1422
Mushuc Runa SC
11th in Liga Pro · 38 pts from 30
- 20 SepDDeportivo Cuenca Ecuador Liga Pro1520
- 12 SepLGuayaquil City FC Ecuador Liga Pro1533
- 8 SepDLeones del Norte Ecuador Liga Pro1551
- 28 AugWDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1542
- 10 AugWTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1545
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 29 /31 | 39.6 | 0% | 0% | 85% | 15th |
| Mushuc Runa SC | 39 /31 | 52.9 | 0% | 2% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Delfin SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1267
Mushuc Runa SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.1 (Average) · Elo 1616
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Delfin SC: direct (how Juan Carlos León Zambrano plays) · Mushuc Runa SC: direct (how Paul Velez Ordonez Angel plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.