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Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 3

Delfin SC 4–2 Manta FC

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Estadio Jocay, Manta

Delfin SC crestDelfin SCTeam 1392
4–2
Full time
HT 2–2
Manta FC crestManta FCTeam 1398

Match story

Delfin SC · draw · Manta FC

Before kick-off: 39% · 31% · 29%

Live chances: Delfin SC 100%, draw 0%, Manta FC 0% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 31%, Manta FC 29%3' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%4' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%5' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%6' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%7' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%8' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%9' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%10' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 39%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%11' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 32%, Manta FC 29%12' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 33%, Manta FC 29%13' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 33%, Manta FC 29%14' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 33%, Manta FC 29%15' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 33%, Manta FC 29%16' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 33%, Manta FC 29%17' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 33%, Manta FC 29%18' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 34%, Manta FC 29%19' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 38%, draw 34%, Manta FC 29%20' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 37%, draw 34%, Manta FC 29%21' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 37%, draw 34%, Manta FC 29%22' · 0–0 · Delfin SC 37%, draw 34%, Manta FC 29%23' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 67%, draw 22%, Manta FC 10%24' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 10%25' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 10%26' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 10%27' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 10%28' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 10%30' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 10%31' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 9%32' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 9%33' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 68%, draw 22%, Manta FC 9%34' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 69%, draw 22%, Manta FC 9%35' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 69%, draw 22%, Manta FC 9%36' · 1–0 · Delfin SC 69%, draw 22%, Manta FC 9%37' · 1–1 · Delfin SC 35%, draw 37%, Manta FC 28%38' · 1–1 · Delfin SC 35%, draw 38%, Manta FC 27%39' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 16%, draw 28%, Manta FC 57%40' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 15%, draw 28%, Manta FC 57%41' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 15%, draw 28%, Manta FC 57%42' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 15%, draw 28%, Manta FC 57%43' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 15%, draw 28%, Manta FC 58%44' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 14%, draw 28%, Manta FC 58%45' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 14%, draw 28%, Manta FC 58%45+1' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 14%, draw 28%, Manta FC 59%45+2' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 13%, draw 28%, Manta FC 59%45+3' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 13%, draw 28%, Manta FC 59%45+4' · 1–2 · Delfin SC 13%, draw 28%, Manta FC 59%HT · 2–2 · Delfin SC 33%, draw 41%, Manta FC 26%46' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 33%, draw 41%, Manta FC 26%47' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 32%, draw 41%, Manta FC 26%48' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 32%, draw 42%, Manta FC 26%49' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 32%, draw 42%, Manta FC 26%50' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 32%, draw 43%, Manta FC 26%51' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 31%, draw 43%, Manta FC 25%52' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 31%, draw 44%, Manta FC 25%53' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 31%, draw 44%, Manta FC 25%54' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 30%, draw 45%, Manta FC 25%55' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 30%, draw 45%, Manta FC 25%56' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 30%, draw 46%, Manta FC 24%57' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 29%, draw 47%, Manta FC 24%58' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 29%, draw 47%, Manta FC 24%59' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 29%, draw 48%, Manta FC 23%60' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 28%, draw 49%, Manta FC 23%61' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 28%, draw 49%, Manta FC 23%62' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 27%, draw 50%, Manta FC 23%63' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 27%, draw 51%, Manta FC 22%64' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 27%, draw 51%, Manta FC 22%65' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 26%, draw 52%, Manta FC 22%66' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 26%, draw 53%, Manta FC 21%67' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 25%, draw 54%, Manta FC 21%68' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 25%, draw 54%, Manta FC 21%69' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 24%, draw 55%, Manta FC 20%70' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 24%, draw 56%, Manta FC 20%71' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 23%, draw 57%, Manta FC 20%72' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 23%, draw 58%, Manta FC 19%73' · 2–2 · Delfin SC 22%, draw 59%, Manta FC 19%74' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 80%, draw 17%, Manta FC 3%75' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 81%, draw 17%, Manta FC 2%76' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 81%, draw 16%, Manta FC 2%77' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 82%, draw 16%, Manta FC 2%78' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 83%, draw 16%, Manta FC 2%79' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 83%, draw 15%, Manta FC 2%80' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 84%, draw 15%, Manta FC 2%81' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 84%, draw 14%, Manta FC 1%82' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 85%, draw 13%, Manta FC 1%83' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 86%, draw 13%, Manta FC 1%84' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 87%, draw 12%, Manta FC 1%85' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 87%, draw 12%, Manta FC 1%86' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 88%, draw 11%, Manta FC 1%87' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 89%, draw 10%, Manta FC 1%88' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 90%, draw 10%, Manta FC 1%89' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 91%, draw 9%, Manta FC 0%90' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 92%, draw 8%, Manta FC 0%90+1' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 93%, draw 7%, Manta FC 0%90+2' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 94%, draw 6%, Manta FC 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 95%, draw 5%, Manta FC 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Delfin SC 97%, draw 3%, Manta FC 0%90+5' · 4–2 · Delfin SC 100%, draw 0%, Manta FC 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Delfin SC 39% to win: they did.

  1. 20'Manta FC:Jefferson Troya 1428 −7
  2. 22'Delfin SC:Franco Ayunta 1554 +47 assist Erick Zuniga 1487 +23
  3. 37'Manta FC:Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo 1410 −20 (pen.)
  4. 38'Manta FC:Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo 1410 −20
  5. 45+4'Delfin SC:Franco Ayunta 1554 +47 (pen.)
  6. 55'Delfin SC:Anthony Bedoya Caicedo 1507 +18
  7. 62'Manta FC:Robert Burbano 1432 −14* for Jefferson Troya 1428 −7
  8. 62'Manta FC:Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra 1349 −15* for Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo 1410 −20
  9. 62'Manta FC:Jeremy Mina 1341 −8* for J. Vergés 1371 −9
  10. 63'Manta FC:Alexander Medina 1443 −10
  11. 64'Delfin SC:Bryan Hernandez 1340 +31
  12. 68'Delfin SC:Enzo Alejandro Rubio 1455 −2* for Bryan Hernandez 1340 +31
  13. 68'Delfin SC:Maikel Reyes 1429 +7 for Jefferson Arce 1366 +28
  14. 68'Delfin SC:Emerson Leao Espinoza Tenorio 1219 +13 for Gerónimo Heredia 1527 +13
  15. 71'Manta FC:Juan Nazareno 1418 −3 for Alexander Medina 1443 −10
  16. 74'Delfin SC:Franco Ayunta 1554 +47 assist Emerson Leao Espinoza Tenorio 1219 +13
  17. 76'Manta FC:Ángel Ledesma 1418 −7 for Juan Jimenez 1377 −8
  18. 78'Delfin SC:Lucas Dante Cornejo 1449 −4* for Danny Luna 1388 +23
  19. 80'Delfin SC:Lucas Dante Cornejo 1449 −4*
  20. 90+3'Delfin SC:Kevin Ushina 1458 −2 for Franco Ayunta 1554 +47
  21. 90+5'Delfin SC:Kevin Ushina 1458 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GF. Zambrano1470−16
DA. Medina1443−10
DO. Moscarelli1467−16
DJ. Nazareno1352−1
DG. Mina1448−15
MJefferson Alberto Troya Vera1428−7
MJ. Jiménez1377−8
MB. Ramírez1458−15
MJ. Vergés1371−9
FJosé Enrique Angulo Caicedo1410−20
FJ. Alman1443−16
CEduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier1444−25
Before kick-off: 39% · 31% · 29%(Delfin SC · draw · Manta FC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (15%); the result 4–2 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Delfin SC €253K, Manta FC €214K.
  • Home advantage made Delfin SC the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Liga Pro): Delfin SC ranked #1 of 16, Manta FC #14.
  • All 11 of Manta FC's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Delfin SC

15th in Liga Pro · 28 pts from 30

  • 9 OctWMushuc Runa SC 1380
  • 20 SepDTecnico Universitario 1399
  • 13 SepDBarcelona SC 1394
  • 6 SepLUniversidad Catolica 1384
  • 28 AugLMushuc Runa SC 1421

Manta FC

16th in Liga Pro · 21 pts from 30

  • 10 OctWTecnico Universitario 1429
  • 21 SepWOrense SC 1409
  • 12 SepDAucas 1414
  • 8 SepLEmelec 1445
  • 2 SepLMacara 1427

Season outlook

From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Delfin SC32 /3241.90%0%64%15th
Manta FC27 /3236.50%0%97%16th
Delfin SC
Manta FC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Pro

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Danny Gabriel Luna Morán
Danny Gabriel Luna Morán

Delfin SC · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1365

J. Vergés
J. Vergés

Manta FC · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1380

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Juan Carlos León Zambrano

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Delfin SC: direct (how Juan Carlos León Zambrano plays) · Manta FC: balanced profile (how Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.